Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. (PAL)
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.73-7.14%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.57 → 0.47 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 3 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 3 to 3; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for PAL yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Reduce net losses from Q1 level | A primary condition in Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is net loss less than $6.5 million or positive net income. | Broken | net loss equals or exceeds $6.5 million in Q2 | Net income: $-3.895M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: net loss less than $6.5 million or positive net income. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 14, 2026-3,895,448 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 12, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk, loss-making transport business with a turnaround-like thesis, not an established compounder. The multi-year view is on watch: momentum has improved, but financial performance remains weak and the evidence has not yet shown a clear recovery.
PAL is described as cheap versus peers, though the valuation model has low confidence. The snapshot does not show what earnings or recovery expectations are embedded in the valuation, so the expectations gap is unclear. Low fragility means no listed fragility signals are concentrating risk in the current market setup.
Near term, results remain vulnerable: Q2 revenue declined and the adjusted operating ratio, a measure of operating costs relative to revenue, worsened; PAL also recently missed earnings. Management has made limited progress on margin improvement, while the Hansen & Adkins acquisition is too recent for its financial effect to be reported. The buyback is being executed, but the next results and guidance remain important risks.
The multi-year thesis depends on whether management can improve operating performance and integrate Hansen & Adkins successfully. A guidance cut on the next call would add to concern, while continued earnings strength and higher guidance from UPS, FDX, and EXPD could support the industrial sector backdrop. Misses or lower guidance from those companies could remove that support.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, PAL’s case rests on turning recent momentum into sustained financial improvement, with meaningful execution and sector risks still present. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stabilize or improve analyst EPS estimates | A supporting condition in Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is no further downward EPS revisions over next 3 months. | Improving | EPS estimates decline further by more than 10% | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Q2 revenue at or above $55 million | A primary condition in Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $55 million. | Intact | Q2 revenue falls below $55 million | Revenue: $109.4M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $55 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 14, 2026109,399,785 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Adjusted Operating Ratio of 99.5% in the second quarter compared to 96.7% in Q2 2025, reflecting the impact of cost inflation and capacity limitations, which kept revenue near fixed-cost coverage levels.” “As rate adjustments began to take effect, margins improved each month, strengthening our margin profile exiting the quarter.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.48 → $0.47 · observed estimates
$0.45B → $0.86B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.48 | $454,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.49 | $561,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.49 | $561,175,000 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.48 | $446,425,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.57 | $868,275,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.54 | $867,025,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.54 | $867,025,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.50 | $856,925,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.50 | $856,925,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.50 | $856,925,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.50 | $856,925,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.50 | $856,925,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.50 | $856,925,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.50 | $856,925,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.47 | $856,175,000 | 3 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 2 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.