PAMT Corp. (PAMT)
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.38+4.12%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PAMT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -72.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 60.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PAMT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-02-19
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 13, 2026, PAMT CORP issued a news release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: PAMT said it planned to step up repurchases in Q2. The next report can show whether it used cash for that plan.
Watch forA company filing reports shares bought back under the program after March 31, 2026.
Also watch forA company filing reports no shares bought back after March 31, 2026. Shares remain available under the program.
Why it matters: Q2 included a $3.1 million accrual for older auto claims. Another rise in claims costs could deepen losses.
Worry ifQ3 insurance and claims costs exceed Q2's $8.7 million, or PAMT reports another large accrual for older claims.
Less concerning ifQ3 insurance and claims costs fall below $8.7 million, with no new large accrual for older claims.
Why it matters: Management linked higher truck productivity and fewer empty miles to its cost plan. A decline could weaken that progress.
Supportive ifQ3 miles per truck per day stay above the Q2 level, and the empty miles factor stays below 7.4%.
Worry ifQ3 miles per truck per day fall from Q2, or the empty miles factor rises above 7.4%.
Why it matters: Management said rates rose meaningfully from Q1 to Q2. Further gains could help offset costs, while Q2 revenue per mile was still below last year.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue per total mile, before fuel surcharge, is above Q2's $1.98.
Worry ifQ3 revenue per total mile stays at or below $1.98, or falls further from Q2's level.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$302 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $662 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,347 loss on $10,000 · 43.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: PAMT's Q2 operating ratio was 106.3%, and it still lost money. A lower ratio would show costs are catching up with revenue.
Supportive ifThe Q3 operating ratio is below 106.3%. The next earnings release reports the result.
Worry ifQ3 operating ratio is 106.3% or higher, or the operating loss widens from Q2's $10.4 million.
Why it matters: PAMT used cash in the first half and had $332.8 million of debt at June 30. More cash use could tighten its room to fund operations.
Worry ifThe next filing shows operating cash use for the first nine months of 2026 above $16.7 million.
Less concerning ifThe next filing shows operating cash use of $16.7 million or less. Or it shows positive operating cash flow for the first nine months.