PAMT Corp. (PAMT)
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.15+4.20%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PAMT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -71.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -11.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
PAMT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-02-19
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 13, 2026, PAMT CORP issued a news release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Starting share repurchases could signal management's confidence in the stock's value. It may also support share price.
Supportive ifPAMT announces share repurchases of at least $5 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNo share buybacks are planned or started in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key for the company's recovery. It indicates demand for services and overall health.
Watch forQ2 2026 revenue exceeds $141.9 million, showing growth from Q1 2026.
Also watch forIf Q2 2026 revenue is under $141.9 million, it shows a drop continues.
Why it matters: A smaller loss shows better cost control. This means the company is financially healthy.
Supportive ifOperating loss decreases from $10.4 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating loss increases or stays the same in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector's revenue growth picks up, it could help PAMT Corp. recover from its current weak position.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to 5% or more.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down below 5%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$306 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $631 loss on $10,000 · 6.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,347 loss on $10,000 · 43.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Starting share repurchases can signal management's confidence in the company's value. It may support the stock price.
Supportive ifManagement starts buying back shares in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo share repurchases announced by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: More productivity can lead to better revenue growth and running the business well.
Supportive ifTruck productivity increases more than 12.8% YoY in Q3 2026.
Worry ifTruck productivity increases less than 12.8% YoY in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows good management and a recovering market. It shows the company can adapt.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 8.9% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: A growing operating loss shows problems with costs and efficiency. This raises worries about finances.
Worry ifOperating loss exceeds $10.4 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating loss improves to below $10 million in Q3.