PAR Technology Corp. (PAR)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$19.18+0.95%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PAR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -15.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 13.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 61 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PAR — officer change
Dated 2026-06-03
Shareholders approved an equity incentive plan amendment.
Why it matters: PAR set a clear year-end goal for its new AI product. Hitting it would show that the product is reaching customers.
Supportive ifPAR reports PAR Intelligence is live at 50,000 or more sites by December 31, 2026.
Worry ifPAR reports fewer than 50,000 live sites at year-end, or moves the target date.
Why it matters: PAR raised its 2026 revenue range to $516 million to $523 million. Results below the low end would undo that increase.
Worry ifPAR reports 2026 revenue below $516 million.
Less concerning ifPAR reports 2026 revenue of at least $516 million.
Why it matters: PAR reported 174,300 active sites and $338 million in ARR at Q2. Slower growth could signal weaker customer additions or retention.
Worry ifQ3 active sites fall below 174,300, or ARR falls below $338 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 active sites exceed 174,300 and ARR exceeds $338 million.
Why it matters: PAR set Q3 revenue guidance at $128 million to $132 million. A result below that range would break its near-term growth plan.
Worry ifOn November 5, Q3 revenue is below $128 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue is at least $128 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$194 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $704 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,024 loss on $10,000 · 70.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Subscription margins fell year over year in the first half. A further drop would add pressure while PAR grows.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP subscription service gross margin is below 65%.
Less concerning ifQ3 non-GAAP subscription service gross margin is 65% or higher.