UiPath (PATH)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
$13.01-3.70%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PATH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 10.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers
PATH — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-03
CFO — Hitesh Ramani: The filing discloses the internal promotion of the Deputy CFO to CFO, with the outgoing CFO transitioning to a different executive role (COO) rather than leaving the company.
Why it matters: UiPath reported $410 million in Q2 and guided to $440 million to $445 million for Q3. A result above that range would show growth stayed strong.
Supportive ifOn December 2, Q3 FY2027 revenue is above $445 million.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 revenue is below $440 million.
Why it matters: Cash from operations fell from $182 million in Q1 to $132 million in Q2 and $31 million in Q3 per the priority data. Another weak quarter would extend that decline.
Worry ifQ4 FY2027 cash from operations is below $31 million.
Less concerning ifQ4 FY2027 cash from operations is above $132 million.
Why it matters: UiPath authorized a new $500 million repurchase plan, but the inputs show no execution pace. A filing with amounts bought would show progress.
Supportive ifA company filing reports that at least $100 million of the $500 million plan was used.
Worry ifA later filing still reports no shares bought under the plan.
Why it matters: ARR grew 12% year over year in Q2. The Q3 guide calls for $1.992 billion to $1.997 billion, so a miss would signal slower growth.
Worry ifARR as of October 31, 2026 is below $1.992 billion.
Less concerning ifARR is at or above $1.997 billion and year-over-year growth is at least 12%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$176 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $615 loss on $10,000 · 6.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,137 loss on $10,000 · 51.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.