UiPath (PATH)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.19-16.63%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PATH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -19.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 10.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 69 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PATH — CFO transition
Dated 2026-09-03
CFO — Hitesh Ramani: The filing discloses the internal promotion of the Deputy CFO to CFO, with the outgoing CFO transitioning to a different executive role (COO) rather than leaving the company.
Why it matters: Higher net new ARR shows strong customer growth and retention. It shows UiPath's growth plan works.
Supportive ifNet new ARR exceeds $49 million.
Worry ifNet new ARR falls below $49 million.
Why it matters: The FOMC decision may change market conditions. It could also affect how investors feel about UiPath's stock.
Watch forA dovish FOMC statement leading to a positive market reaction.
Also watch forA hawkish FOMC statement leading to a negative market reaction.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it may impact UiPath's performance. It indicates broader market challenges.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Revenue below this level would signal a slowdown in growth momentum for UiPath.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $395 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue reported above $400 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$189 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $679 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,137 loss on $10,000 · 51.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better operating income means lower costs and more profit. This is key for success.
Supportive ifOperating income is better this quarter than in Q1.
Worry ifOperating income is worse this quarter than in Q1.
Why it matters: This earnings report will give important updates on revenue, ARR, and operating income. It is key for understanding business growth.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue and ARR growth in line with or better than guidance.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue and ARR growth below guidance.
Why it matters: A drop in ARR growth may show less demand for UiPath's automation tools.
Worry ifARR growth reported below 12% YoY.
Less concerning ifARR growth reported at or above 12% YoY.
Why it matters: Improving operating income is a key focus. A strong Q2 result would show progress.
Supportive ifQ2 2027 operating income exceeds $50M.
Worry ifQ2 2027 operating income drops below $20M.
Why it matters: More cash from operations shows strong finances. This helps with growth investments.
Supportive ifCash from operations reported above $50 million in Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations reported below $50 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Maintaining revenue growth above 20% shows strong demand for UiPath's products. It confirms the company's growth strategy is on track.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 20% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Falling below this level may raise worries about UiPath's cost control and profits.
Worry ifNon-GAAP operating income was less than $75 million.
Less concerning ifNon-GAAP operating income was more than $75 million.
Why it matters: Successful product launches can increase sales. They can also strengthen market position.
Supportive ifA successful launch of new AI solutions led to more customers.
Worry ifNew product launches did not attract much customer interest.
Why it matters: This guidance shows if UiPath can maintain its revenue growth trend. Meeting or exceeding this range would signal strong operational execution.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $445 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $440 million.
Why it matters: This growth in ARR is important for steady revenue. It shows strong customer retention and new customers.
Supportive ifARR reported at or above $1.997 billion.
Worry ifARR reported below $1.992 billion.
Why it matters: This number is an important measure of profit. Meeting this goal shows better efficiency.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP operating income is at or above $100 million.
Worry ifNon-GAAP operating income is less than $100 million.
Why it matters: A drop would show problems in making cash. This could affect future investments. Watching this trend is key for financial health.
Worry ifNet cash flow from operations reported at $31 million or lower.
Less concerning ifNet cash flow from operations reported above $31 million.