Reading PATK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PATK free→Reading PATK? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track PATK free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · PATK
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $86.70. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $64.76 | 14.6 | 4.44 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $66.73 | 8.6 | 12.22 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $86.99 | 16.2 | 5.37 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $64.90 | 14.6 | 4.45 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $80.41 |
| 0.8 |
| 100.64 |
| TTM |
| high |
| PEG | 12M | $97.75 | 22.0 | 4.45 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $71.25 | 16.0 | 4.45 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $69.78 | 14.6 | 4.78 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $113.67 | 14.6 | 7.79 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $47.81 | 16.2 | 2.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $113.92 | 14.6 | 7.81 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $109.25 | 0.8 | 136.74 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $171.58 | 22.0 | 7.81 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $125.06 | 16.0 | 7.81 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $165.40 | 14.6 | 11.34 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $32.08 | 16.2 | 1.98 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $165.77 | 14.6 | 11.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $134.02 | 0.8 | 167.74 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $249.67 | 22.0 | 11.37 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $181.97 | 16.0 | 11.37 | Analyst | medium |