PureCycle Technologies, Inc. (PCT)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$6.39+1.11%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PCT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -50.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PCT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-31
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Amendment to Revolving Credit Agreement PureCycle Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) is party to that certain Credit Agreement (as amended, the “Revolving Credit Agreement”) dated as of March 15, 2023, with PureCycle Technologies Holdings Corp., PureCycle Technologies, LLC, PureCycle Augusta, LLC and PureCycle (Thailand) Company Limited (collectively, the “Guarantors”), Sylebra Capital Partners Master Fund, LTD and Sylebra Capital Menlo Master Fund…
Why it matters: Changes to the credit agreement can affect cash flow and financial options. This is important.
Worry ifThe company announces good changes to the credit agreement. These changes help finances.
Less concerning ifThe company reports stricter terms or higher costs for the credit agreement.
Why it matters: How much is spent on operations shows financial health. Big changes can affect profits.
Watch forMonthly operations spending will drop below $8 million in Q3 2026.
Also watch forMonthly operations spending will rise above $9 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows strong demand and good operations. It confirms growth.
Supportive ifProduction reaches 40-50 million pounds as demand ramps up in Q2/Q3.
Worry ifProduction is below 40 million pounds. This shows weaker demand.
Why it matters: The groundbreaking shows progress in increasing production. This helps meet future demand.
Supportive ifThe announcement for the Thailand facility will happen in the second half of 2026.
Worry ifNo announcement of groundbreaking by the end of 2026.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$313 on $10,000 · ±3.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $786 loss on $10,000 · 7.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,656 loss on $10,000 · 66.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A buyback can signal confidence in the company's future. It may support the stock price.
Supportive ifThe company shares details about the share buyback program.
Worry ifThe company cancels or delays the share buyback program.
Why it matters: Completing this offering can strengthen the company's balance sheet. It is key for funding future projects.
Supportive ifThe company completes the $145 million common stock offering by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe company delays or cancels the common stock offering.
Why it matters: Approval for Tide caps would expand product offerings and drive revenue growth.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of P&G approval for Tide detergent caps in Q3.
Worry ifNo announcement of approval for Tide caps by the end of Q3.
Why it matters: This offering is part of the capital strategy. Its success can affect share price and investor confidence.
Watch forThe stock offering is done well and has strong demand.
Also watch forThe stock offering faces weak demand or is postponed.
Why it matters: More production from P&G can bring in more money. It can also strengthen partnerships.
Supportive ifProduction from P&G applications rises a lot in Q3.
Worry ifProduction from P&G applications does not increase as expected in Q3.
Why it matters: New partnerships can drive revenue growth and expand market reach for PureCycle's products.
Supportive ifAt least three new commercial partnerships announced in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo new partnerships announced in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Branded sales volumes are expected to grow. This shows that PureCycle's commercial ramp is working.
Supportive ifBranded sales volumes exceed 40 million pounds in Q3 2026.
Worry ifBranded sales volumes remain below 20 million pounds in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: This report will give details on revenue growth and operations.
Watch forEarnings show significant revenue growth compared to Q1 2026.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows falling revenue or problems with operations.
Why it matters: Breaking even at Ironton shows it is more efficient. It also shows good cost control.
Supportive ifIronton Facility will break even by the end of Q4 2026.
Worry ifIronton Facility fails to reach breakeven by the end of Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping this guidance shows PureCycle is careful with spending. It helps investors see financial health.
Supportive ifThe company will spend between $39 million and $45 million in upcoming reports.
Worry ifCAPEX guidance is revised down below $39 million.
Why it matters: Issuing these notes can provide needed capital for growth. It will impact the company's financial stability.
Supportive ifThe company will issue $250 million in convertible senior notes by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe company fails to issue the notes or delays the offering beyond Q3 2026.
Why it matters: High revenue growth shows strong demand for PureFive resin. It also shows success in ramping up operations.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 150% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 150% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Getting financing is important for the Thailand facility. It affects future growth plans.
Supportive ifFinancing for the Thailand project will close by the end of 2026.
Worry ifFinancing for the Thailand project is delayed beyond year-end.