PagerDuty, Inc. (PD)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.62-3.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PD
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $14 PD trades at 15× p/e, below its 27× p/e peer median. Our $23 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well above the analyst range and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $9.00–$15. Note: our $23 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($9.00–$15). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $13.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $52.50 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $121.13 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $7.70 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$9.00 – $15.00 (median $13.50) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-08-28
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1, 2027-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $29.34 |
| 18.6 |
| 1.58 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $24.85 | 17.5 | 1.42 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $23.57 | 3.8 | 6.25 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $16.48 | 18.3 | 0.90 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $5.78 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $27.51 | 27.4 | 1.00 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $44.62 | 18.6 | 2.40 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $25.46 | 17.5 | 1.46 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $24.03 | 3.8 | 6.37 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $26.68 | 18.3 | 1.46 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $59.01 | 18.6 | 3.18 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $25.23 | 17.5 | 1.44 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $23.82 | 3.8 | 6.32 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $26.44 | 18.3 | 1.44 | Analyst | medium |