Parker Hannifin (PH)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$892.29-1.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 47 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PH — debt issuance
Dated 2026-09-14
Other Events. On September 14, 2026, Parker-Hannifin Corporation (“Parker” or the “Company”) completed (i) its previously announced registered offering of $2.4 billion in aggregate principal amount of senior notes (the “U.S. Notes Offering”) and (ii) its previously announced registered offering of €2.025 billion in aggregate principal amount of senior notes (the “Euro Notes Offering” and, together with the U.S. Notes Offering, the “Offerings”). The U.S. Notes Offering included four tranches,…
Why it matters: Parker set a 5.5% to 8.5% organic sales growth range for FY27. Results above its low end would back its broad recovery view.
Supportive ifA FY27 quarter report shows organic sales growth above 5.5%. Growth spans all market verticals.
Worry ifA FY27 quarter report shows organic sales growth below 5.5%. Or, one or more market verticals decline.
Why it matters: Parker changed all order comparisons to a rolling 12-month measure in FY27. The first reports will show whether strong FY26 orders continue.
Watch forThe first FY27 rolling 12-month order report shows Parker order growth above 12%.
Also watch forThe first FY27 rolling 12-month order report shows Parker order growth below 0%.
Why it matters: FY27 guidance excludes the Filtration Group deal. Its close may change the sales and profit figures investors use to judge the year.
Watch forParker reports the Filtration Group deal is closed. It gives updated FY27 sales and adjusted margin guidance of at least 5.5% and 27.5%.
Also watch forParker reports a delayed or failed close, or cuts FY27 sales growth below 5.5% or adjusted margin below 27.5%.
Why it matters: Aerospace sales and orders have grown, and backlog reached a record $8.5 billion. More growth would support the plan to expand this business.
Supportive ifA future report shows Aerospace Systems backlog above $8.5 billion. Orders grow above 0%.
Worry ifA future report shows Aerospace Systems backlog below $8.5 billion. Or, orders grow below 0%.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$106 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $266 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,952 loss on $10,000 · 19.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Parker raised its FY31 adjusted margin target to 30%. FY27 guidance puts the adjusted range at 27.5% to 27.9%.
Supportive ifA FY27 quarterly report shows adjusted segment margin at or above 27.9%.
Worry ifA FY27 quarterly report shows adjusted segment margin below 27.5%, the low end of guidance.