PHINIA, Inc. (PHIN)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$69.09-3.68%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PHIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 3.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PHIN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On July 30, 2026 , PHINIA Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The earnings call presentation to which the attached press release refers is available at investors.phinia.com, but it is not incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this
Why it matters: Q3 cash flow fell as receivables rose and customer collections shifted. A recovery would support the full-year cash goal.
Supportive ifQ4 operating cash flow is above Q3's $87 million, and full-year adjusted free cash flow reaches at least $220 million.
Worry ifQ4 operating cash flow is $87 million or less, and full-year adjusted free cash flow is below $220 million.
Why it matters: PHINIA won new awards in alternative fuels, aftermarket, and other markets. Yet Q3 sales were flat without currency effects.
Supportive ifIn a later quarter, PHINIA reports core sales growth from a year ago. It also names revenue from a recent award in a growth market.
Worry ifIn a later quarter, core sales are flat or lower than a year ago. PHINIA reports no revenue from recent awards in growth markets.
Why it matters: PHINIA raised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA range to $500 million-$520 million. Q4 results will show if it can meet that higher bar.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA is at least $500 million, the low end of the new range.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA is less than $500 million.
Why it matters: Q3 adjusted free cash flow fell $31 million from a year ago. The full-year range now starts at $220 million.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted free cash flow is at least $220 million.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted free cash flow is below $220 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$138 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $378 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,443 loss on $10,000 · 34.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.