Pinterest (PINS)
NYSECommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$20.40-2.16%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PINS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 16.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PINS — CFO transition
Dated 2026-08-28
CFO — Julia Brau Donnelly: The CFO is resigning to pursue another opportunity, but the company has already appointed an interim successor (Vikram Naidu) and is conducting an orderly transition, indicating a planned succession rather than a sudden loss.
Why it matters: Slowing user growth may show problems with engagement and platform appeal.
Worry ifUser growth is below 10% YoY in Q3. This signals possible engagement issues.
Less concerning ifUser growth remains at or above 11% YoY in Q3, indicating continued platform strength.
Why it matters: Doing well shows confidence in the company. This can help the share price.
Supportive ifPinterest buys back over $2 billion in shares with the new program.
Worry ifPinterest will not do big share buybacks in the next few months.
Why it matters: This guidance shows if Pinterest can keep growing. A strong forecast helps investors feel good.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue guidance confirmed to be between $1,190 million and $1,210 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue guidance falls below 13% growth year over year.
Why it matters: This report will show if Pinterest can keep up its recent earnings momentum. A strong report could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifEarnings per share beats consensus estimates by more than 5%.
Worry ifEarnings per share misses consensus estimates by more than 5%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$176 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $569 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,937 loss on $10,000 · 59.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Exceeding this amount shows good capital use and confidence in the business.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases are over $3.5 billion by year-end. This shows strong returns.
Worry ifTotal share repurchases are under $2.5 billion by year-end. This suggests weak capital use.
Why it matters: Finishing this would show good use of funds and trust in the company.
Supportive ifManagement completes the $3.5 billion share repurchase program by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifManagement slows down or cuts the share buyback program.
Why it matters: If revenue growth is below 14%, it may show a slowdown. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth reported below 14% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 revenue growth reported at or above 14% year over year.
Why it matters: User growth is critical for Pinterest's ad revenue. A slowdown may signal deeper issues.
Worry ifQ2 2026 global monthly active users grow less than 11% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 global monthly active users grow 11% or more year over year.
Why it matters: Not meeting this target may show problems with costs and making money.
Worry ifIn Q2 2026, Adjusted EBITDA was below $256 million.
Less concerning ifIn Q2 2026, Adjusted EBITDA was at or above $256 million.
Why it matters: If revenue growth is below 13%, it may show weak demand. This could hurt investor confidence.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 13% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth reported at 15% or higher year over year.
Why it matters: If EBITDA exceeds the target, it shows good cost management. This means the company is running well.
Supportive ifIn Q3, Adjusted EBITDA was over $355 million.
Worry ifIn Q3, Adjusted EBITDA was below $335 million.
Why it matters: If user growth is below 10%, it may show problems with user engagement and retention.
Worry ifQ3 global monthly active users (MAUs) growth reported below 10%.
Less concerning ifQ3 global MAUs growth reported at 10% or higher.