Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$31.28+1.56%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PKE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 63.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 27.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 55 industry peers
PKE — President transition
Dated 2026-07-09
Senior Vice President and General Manager — Cory Nickel: The company terminated Cory Nickel's employment and appointed John Jamieson to the role.
Why it matters: If revenue is higher, it shows the company is growing well.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $25 million or more.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $24.2 million.
Why it matters: More changes might affect stability and how Park Aerospace carries out its plans.
Worry ifA new executive hire or promotion is announced.
Less concerning ifNo new executive changes are announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Keeping operating income above this level means Park is controlling costs well. This is good for efficiency.
Supportive ifIn Q2, operating income was more than $4 million.
Worry ifIn Q2, operating income was less than $4 million.
Why it matters: A rise in EPS would show that Park is meeting its growth goals. This aligns with management's priority to increase EPS.
Supportive ifQ3 diluted EPS reported above $0.19.
Worry ifQ3 diluted EPS reported below $0.17.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$186 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $441 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,943 loss on $10,000 · 19.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The industrial sector is slowing. Changes in revenue growth could impact Park Aerospace's performance.
Watch forRevenue growth in the industrial sector is speeding up again. It is reaching 5% or more.
Also watch forRevenue growth in the industrial sector is slowing down. It is now below 5%.
Why it matters: Positive operating income shows that Park is managing costs well. This is important for long-term stability.
Supportive ifIn Q3, the company made more than $4 million in operating income.
Worry ifIn Q3, the company made less than $3 million in operating income.
Why it matters: Stable operating income shows good cost management. It helps long-term growth.
Watch forOperating income for Q3 stays above $4.0M.
Also watch forOperating income for Q3 drops below $3.0M.
Why it matters: If this number is higher, it shows good performance and cost control.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is $5.5 million or more.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is less than $5.2 million.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if revenue growth is stabilizing or declining. This is key for investor confidence.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue growth speeding up again. It is getting close to past highs.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth continuing to decline or remain flat.
Why it matters: The new president's plans may affect future performance. Watching this will show possible strategy changes.
Watch forA press release shared the new president's strategic plans.
Also watch forThere is no update or clear direction from the new president.
Why it matters: Maintaining revenue growth supports Park's goal to drive sales. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales reported above $18 million.
Worry ifQ3 net sales reported below $18 million.
Why it matters: Revenue growth has been mixed, with a decline in Q4. This shows the company's ability to grow.
Worry ifQ4 revenue growth stabilizes or increases year over year.
Less concerning ifQ4 revenue declines further year over year.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key to management's goals. A drop below $18M may signal issues.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was below $18M. This shows weaker growth than expected.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue reported above $18M, showing strong growth momentum.
Why it matters: EPS growth is important for management. A drop may worry investors about profits.
Worry ifQ2 EPS reported below $0.17, indicating a setback in earnings growth.
Less concerning ifQ2 EPS reported at or above $0.17, confirming continued earnings growth.