Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$24.73-5.39%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PKE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 51.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 25.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PKE — President transition
Dated 2026-07-09
Senior Vice President and General Manager — Cory Nickel: The company terminated Cory Nickel's employment and appointed John Jamieson to the role.
Why it matters: Sales rose to $20.8 million in Q2 from $16.4 million a year earlier. Another gain would support Park’s sales growth goal.
Supportive ifQ3 FY2027 sales top $20.8 million, the Q2 FY2027 level.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 sales fall below $18.3 million, the Q1 FY2027 level.
Why it matters: Operating income rose to $4.7 million in Q2 from $2.8 million a year earlier. A drop below Q1’s level would reverse that trend.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 operating income falls below $4.0 million, the Q1 FY2027 result.
Less concerning ifQ3 FY2027 operating income stays at or above $4.7 million.
Why it matters: Diluted EPS rose from $0.12 to $0.21 year over year in Q2. More growth would support Park’s stated EPS goal.
Supportive ifQ3 FY2027 diluted EPS exceeds $0.21, the Q2 FY2027 result.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 diluted EPS falls below $0.17, the Q1 FY2027 result.
Why it matters: Gross margin was 34.3% in Q2, up from 31.2% a year earlier. A sharp drop could weaken the earnings gains.
Worry ifQ3 FY2027 gross margin falls below 31.2%, the year-ago Q2 rate.
Less concerning ifQ3 FY2027 gross margin stays at or above 34.3%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$144 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $441 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,531 loss on $10,000 · 35.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.