PodcastOne Inc (PODC)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.73-0.73%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PODC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 28.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 18.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PODC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2026, PodcastOne, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its operating and financial highlights and results for the first quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information included herein and in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to t…
Why it matters: A bigger operating loss shows the company is not doing well. It has more problems running the business.
Worry ifOperating loss exceeds $1.56 million in Q2.
Less concerning ifOperating loss is less than or equal to $1.56 million in Q2.
Why it matters: This figure is key to reaching the FY 2027 Adjusted EBITDA target of $8-$10 million. A miss could raise concerns about profitability.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA in Q2 is below $1.6 million. This shows challenges in making more money.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA in Q2 is at or above $1.6 million. This suggests progress towards making money.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial direction and affect growth plans.
Watch forNew CFO uses smart financial strategies that lead to better results.
Also watch forNew CFO's strategies lead to financial setbacks or missed targets.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show trends in revenue and profits.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth and good Adjusted EBITDA.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows a drop in revenue. It also shows negative Adjusted EBITDA.
Why it matters: If it falls below this level, it shows problems with making money and running well.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is below $8 million for FY 2027.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA meets or exceeds $8 million for FY 2027.
Why it matters: This would indicate that PodcastOne is struggling to meet its growth target for FY 2027.
Worry ifQ2 Fiscal 2027 revenue growth below 8% YoY compared to $16.1 million in Q1 Fiscal 2027.
Less concerning ifQ2 Fiscal 2027 revenue growth of 8% YoY or higher.
Why it matters: New acquisitions would make PodcastOne stronger in the market and with creators.
Supportive ifThey announced new deals to improve their content.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions or partnerships announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Hitting this Adjusted EBITDA shows good cost control. It also means better profits.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA reported at $1.6M or more.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was less than $1.6M.
Why it matters: New partnerships can help grow the audience. They also add more content, which helps revenue.
Supportive ifAt least one new major content partnership announced.
Worry ifNo new partnerships announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A smaller loss means they are controlling costs better.
Supportive ifOperating loss for Q2 Fiscal 2027 was below $1.56 million.
Worry ifOperating loss for Q2 Fiscal 2027 reported at $1.56 million or higher.
Why it matters: Unique listeners are important for growth. A drop could suggest weakening audience engagement and impact future revenue.
Worry ifUnique listeners in Q2 are below 5 million. This shows possible problems with keeping the audience.
Less concerning ifUnique listeners in Q2 are at or above 5 million. This shows strong audience interest.
Why it matters: Reaching this revenue target would show strong progress towards the $61M goal for FY 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $15.86M or more.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $15.86M.
Why it matters: The CFO's departure may change financial strategy and reporting. Investors need to watch for any changes.
Worry ifFinancial reports show no major delays or errors after the CFO leaves.
Less concerning ifFinancial reports are delayed or have errors after the CFO leaves.
Why it matters: Better operating income shows good cost control. It also means better financial health.
Supportive ifOperating income is higher than in Q1 2027.
Worry ifOperating income is worse compared to Q1 2027 results.
Why it matters: Growth in revenue could mean a recovery and help PodcastOne.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth reported below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Confirming revenue guidance for Q2 2027 helps show if growth plans are on track.
Supportive ifManagement confirms revenue guidance of $68-$75 million for FY 2027.
Worry ifManagement lowers revenue guidance to $68-$75 million for FY 2027.
Why it matters: Having a strong cash position helps keep operations stable and supports growth plans. It shows financial strength.
Supportive ifCash balance is expected to be $3.5 million or more in the next financial report.
Worry ifCash balance reported below $3.5 million.
Why it matters: A big acquisition could increase PodcastOne's market share and boost growth.
Supportive ifPodcastOne announces a strategic acquisition. This fits their growth plan.
Worry ifThere are no announcements of M&A activity or partnerships in the next quarter.
Why it matters: New partnerships or purchases could make PodcastOne's content better. This could bring in more listeners.
Supportive ifThere is an announcement of at least one big new content partnership or purchase.
Worry ifNo new partnerships or acquisitions announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: This growth rate is a key indicator of whether PodcastOne can meet its fiscal 2027 revenue target.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is less than 8% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth is 8% or more year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$268 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $798 loss on $10,000 · 8.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,940 loss on $10,000 · 49.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.