PodcastOne Inc (PODC)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.17+8.75%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PODC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 21.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
PODC — private placement
Dated 2026-11-04
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 29, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), PodcastOne, Inc. (the “Company”), LiveOne, Inc., the Company’s majority parent (“LiveOne”), and certain of the Company’s and LiveOne’s subsidiaries party to the Subsidiary Guarantee (as defined below) entered into a Forbearance Agreement and Amendment to Debentures (the “Agreement”) with JGB Partners, LP, JGB Capital, LP, JGB Capital Offshore Ltd., JGB Orpington, LLC and Chicago Atlantic Adams, LLC (collec…
Why it matters: That range is management’s full-year revenue goal. Q1 revenue was $16.1M, up 8% year over year.
Watch forAt the next earnings report, management keeps the $68M-$75M goal and reports revenue near or above the pace needed to reach it.
Also watch forManagement cuts the goal below $68M, or reported revenue falls below the pace needed to reach $68M.
Why it matters: This tests whether higher sales are turning into stronger adjusted earnings. Q1 adjusted EBITDA was $1.6M.
Watch forManagement keeps the $8M-$10M goal and quarterly results track toward at least $8M for the year.
Also watch forManagement lowers the goal below $8M, or results fall short of the pace needed to reach $8M.
Why it matters: The operating loss widened from $1.05M a year ago, despite higher revenue. A smaller loss would show better control of costs.
Watch forThe next report shows an operating loss smaller than $1.56M for the quarter.
Also watch forThe next report shows an operating loss of $1.56M or more.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$283 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $829 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,707 loss on $10,000 · 67.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.