PONY AI INC (PONY)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$4.75+4.40%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PONY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers
Why it matters: Higher inflation could lead to increased costs for PONY AI, impacting margins and growth.
Worry ifThe Consumer Price Index was over 3% on October 14, 2026.
Less concerning ifThe Consumer Price Index was under 3%.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below median, it signals a potential slowdown for PONY AI. This could affect investor confidence.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median level.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median level.
Why it matters: More unemployment claims can show economic problems. This can hurt PONY AI's business.
Worry ifWeekly unemployment claims were more than 300,000 on October 1, 2026.
Less concerning ifWeekly unemployment claims were under 300,000.
Why it matters: If sector margins get better, it may mean good news for PONY AI's profits.
Supportive ifSector margins increase year over year by more than 2%.
Worry ifSector margins decrease year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$237 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $695 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,381 loss on $10,000 · 73.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.