Pool Corporation (POOL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$185.22+0.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · POOL
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $185 POOL trades at 17× p/e, in line with its 15× p/e peer median, and our $185 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $185–$260. Note: our $185 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($185–$260). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $217.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $227.60 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $195.66 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $93.07 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$185.00 – $260.00 (median $217.50) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-08-24
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $271.89 |
| 16.1 |
| 16.90 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $176.32 | 15.3 | 11.55 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $122.56 | 0.8 | 149.29 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $100.53 | 9.1 | 11.04 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $66.95 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $207.39 | 18.8 | 11.04 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $169.71 | 15.1 | 11.23 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $213.16 | 16.1 | 13.25 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $191.06 | 15.3 | 12.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $135.48 | 0.8 | 165.03 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $113.97 | 9.1 | 12.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $235.11 | 18.8 | 12.52 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $181.24 | 16.1 | 11.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $203.94 | 15.3 | 13.36 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $144.61 | 0.8 | 176.16 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $121.65 | 9.1 | 13.36 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $250.96 | 18.8 | 13.36 | Analyst | medium |