Portland General Electric (POR)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$48.76-0.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · POR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -20.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 29.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 31 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
POR — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-12
Regulation FD Disclosure. On August 12, 2026, Portland General Electric (PGE) and the Staff of the Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC Staff) entered into a stipulation in OPUC Docket UM 2385 that recommends that the Public Utility Commission of Oregon (OPUC) approve PGE's application for a corporate reorganization to create a holding company structure. The stipulation resolves the issues in the proceeding among PGE and OPUC Staff, subject to the terms and conditions set forth in the st…
Why it matters: A dividend increase shows confidence in cash flow. It helps with spending plans.
Supportive ifManagement announces a dividend increase of at least 5% per share.
Worry ifNo dividend increase will be announced during the next earnings call.
Why it matters: An increase signals strong cash flow and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Supportive ifPGE announces an increase in the quarterly dividend from the current $0.55125.
Worry ifPGE cuts the dividend or keeps it the same without an increase.
Why it matters: An increase shows PGE wants to give value back to shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a dividend increase above $0.525 per share.
Worry ifNo dividend increase announced in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is important. It helps fund operations and investments.
Supportive ifCash from operations reported above $300 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations reported below $300 million in Q2 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$85 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $181 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,280 loss on $10,000 · 12.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The tariff raises data center prices by 30%. This impacts revenue and customers.
Supportive ifRevenue from large customers rises a lot after the tariff starts.
Worry ifRevenue from large customers stays the same or drops after the tariff starts.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow is important for paying bills and dividends. This is key after mixed signals.
Watch forCash from operations increases by at least 10% compared to Q1.
Also watch forCash from operations decreases or stays flat compared to Q1.
Why it matters: Approval would help PGE grow and make more money in the long run.
Supportive ifThe WUTC and OPUC approved the acquisition.
Worry ifRegulators may stop the acquisition or add strict rules.
Why it matters: The company needs to show better net income after a significant drop last quarter. This will indicate if management's efforts are working.
Supportive ifQ2 net income increases from $45M in Q1 to above $60M.
Worry ifQ2 net income is under $45M. This shows ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: More demand from data centers helps increase revenue.
Supportive ifIndustrial customer demand grew more than 10% compared to last year.
Worry ifDemand from industrial customers grows less than 5% each year.
Why it matters: The rate case outcome will impact future pricing and revenue stability.
Watch forApproval of the proposed 4.8% overall rate increase by the OPUC.
Also watch forThe OPUC may reject or change the proposed rate increase.
Why it matters: The tariff change affects pricing for data centers and overall customer costs.
Watch forData center customers are happy with the new pricing.
Also watch forSignificant pushback or loss of data center customers due to the new tariff.