Reading POWI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track POWI free→Reading POWI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track POWI free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, while risk is elevated. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, and compared with sector peers, POWI is typical. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the read is fair. If POWI cuts guidance on the next call, that could have a meaningful negative impact. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $78.38. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $78 POWI trades at 66× p/e, in line with its 66× p/e peer median. Our $79 fair value reflects that, medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 1% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -7%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted 6.34x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated robust grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.30 → $0.32 (+5.3% / 30d). 3 raised, 0 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 60% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 20.5% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$213.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$472.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,783.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company can recover from the recent earnings miss.
Confirms:Earnings results show revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Disproves:Earnings results show revenue growth below 0% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for POWI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Senior Vice President, Worldwide Sales — Mike Balow: The company hired a new Senior Vice President with extensive industry experience.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
POWI Power Integrations | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 45 of 100 | fair | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 88 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | — | — | moderate |
AVGO Broadcom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 75 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
MU Micron Technology | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to maintain gross margin within the range of 53.5% to 54.5%.
Target revenue to be in the range of $115 million to $120 million.
Maintain operating expenses within the range of $55 million to $56 million.
Why it matters: This report will provide key updates on revenue, margins, and expenses. It is crucial for assessing company health.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue and margins meeting or exceeding targets.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows revenue and margins falling short of targets.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows the company is on track for growth. It also supports management's priorities.
Confirms:Q2 revenue reported at $115M or higher.
Disproves:Q2 revenue reported below $115M.
Why it matters: A drop in sector revenue growth may show bigger problems for Power Integrations.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth has been below its median for two months in a row.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median for the same period.
Why it matters: Maintaining this margin range is key for profitability. It reflects cost control and pricing power.
Confirms:Gross margin reported within the 53.5% to 54.5% range.
Disproves:Gross margin reported below 53.5%.
Why it matters: Keeping costs low is important for making money. It shows good cost control.
Confirms:Operating costs were less than $56M.
Disproves:Operating costs were more than $56M.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026 the Registrant issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.