Pilgrim's Pride (PPC)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$28.62-1.34%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PPC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 2.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PPC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-09-23
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On September 23, 2026, Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation (the “Company”) and Pilgrim’s Europe Finance PLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company (together with the Company, the “Issuers”), completed a sale of €500 million aggregate principal amount of their 4.750% senior notes due 2034 (the “Notes”). The Notes were sold in a private offering exempt from the registration requirements of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securiti…
Why it matters: Q3 supply rose 2.2% year over year, and lower chicken prices cut earnings. Higher prices could ease that pressure.
Watch forQ4 U.S. Fresh adjusted operating income rises from Q3's $105.8 million, with higher commodity cutout prices.
Also watch forQ4 U.S. Fresh adjusted operating income falls below $105.8 million as commodity prices stay weak.
Why it matters: Q3 adjusted EBITDA fell 50% year over year, while operating income fell 61.1%. A further drop would show continued earnings pressure.
Worry ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA is below $316.3 million, or its margin is below 6.8%.
Less concerning ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA is at least $316.3 million and its margin is at least 6.8%.
Why it matters: The deal could add pork products and sales in Europe. A delay or failed deal would remove that growth path.
Watch forPPC says it will complete the Walkers Deli & Sausage acquisition by early 2027.
Also watch forPPC reports that the deal is delayed past early 2027 or will not close.
Why it matters: Prepared Foods volumes rose over 15%, and Just Bare retail sales grew over 25%. Continued growth would support the company's shift to branded products.
Supportive ifQ4 U.S. Prepared Foods volume grows year over year, and Just Bare retail sales stay above prior-year levels.
Worry ifQ4 U.S. Prepared Foods volume or Just Bare retail sales falls below its prior-year level.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$131 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $367 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,241 loss on $10,000 · 42.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.