Pilgrim's Pride (PPC)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$30.48-0.10%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PPC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 11.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 28 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PPC — litigation filed
Dated 2026-08-28
Other Information. On August 4, 2026, Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation (the “Company”), as nominal defendant, its directors and majority stockholders JBS Wisconsin Properties, LLC, JBS USA Food Company Holdings, and JBS, S.A. (the “JBS Defendants”), as additional defendants (with the Company and its directors, the “Defendants”), and the plaintiffs in the previously-disclosed putative stockholder derivative lawsuit, City of Miami Beach Fire and Police Pension Fund, et al. v. JBS Wisconsin Propertie…
Why it matters: A better margin shows the company is managing costs well. This helps with making money long-term.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin goes up from 7.8% in Q2 to over 8% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin drops below 7.5% in Q3.
Why it matters: If the sector grows faster, it can benefit Pilgrim's Pride. It shows market health.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is speeding up again toward 5% or more.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down below 5%.
Why it matters: Higher net income margins show better cost control and more profit.
Supportive ifNet income margin improves to above 5% in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet income margin remains below 4% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: This facility is important for making more products and boosting sales. Delays could slow growth.
Supportive ifThe Walker County facility starts production on time.
Worry ifProduction at the Walker County facility is delayed. It is past the expected time.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$176 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $359 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,049 loss on $10,000 · 40.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The acquisition could improve products and boost sales in the premium market.
Supportive ifSales from Walker's Deli help overall revenue in Q3 2026.
Worry ifSales from Walker's Deli fall short of expectations or hurt revenue.
Why it matters: More pricing pressures can lead to lower profits. They can also reduce efficiency.
Worry ifIf commodity prices rise, margins may drop in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifIf commodity prices stay steady or rise, margins may improve.
Why it matters: Falling operating income shows problems with costs and commodity prices. This can hurt future profits.
Worry ifOperating income drops from $66 million in Q2 2026 to under $50 million in Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifOperating income rises to over $70 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Commodity prices affect profits and margins. Rising prices could mean better margins.
Watch forCommodity prices stabilize or rise. This helps margins recover.
Also watch forCommodity prices drop more, hurting margins and profits.
Why it matters: Stable or rising commodity prices can boost profits. This is important for the poultry industry.
Supportive ifPoultry prices are either stabilizing or going up from low levels.
Worry ifCommodity prices keep falling, which hurts profits.
Why it matters: More cash flow from operations shows the company is doing well financially. This means better performance.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $150M in Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations stays below $130M in Q2.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company is improving its net income margins.
Watch forEarnings report shows net income margins improve year over year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows net income margins decline year over year.
Why it matters: Better efficiency helps control costs and makes more money. Investors want to see this.
Supportive ifManagement says they have a score over 60% for how well they are running.
Worry ifProgress score remains below 40% with no clear plan for improvement.
Why it matters: Commodity prices affect profits. Big changes could impact earnings.
Worry ifCommodity prices stay steady or rise a lot in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifCommodity prices continue to decline sharply in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports growth and financial health. It shows management's effectiveness.
Supportive ifManagement says cash flow from operations is steady and not going down.
Worry ifCash flow from operations shows signs of getting weaker or going down.
Why it matters: Growth in U.S. Prepared Foods is key for offsetting commodity pricing pressures. Strong growth signals effective strategy.
Supportive ifU.S. Prepared Foods revenue grows year over year by more than 5%.
Worry ifU.S. Prepared Foods revenue declines or grows less than 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Better operations in Big Bird can improve profits. This is key for financial health.
Supportive ifManagement says Big Bird is getting better at being efficient.
Worry ifThere are still issues with efficiency. No improvements have been reported.
Why it matters: Stable net sales show steady demand and good management.
Supportive ifNet sales stabilize above $4.6 billion in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet sales drop below $4.5 billion in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better efficiency can help make more money and lower risks.
Supportive ifU.S. Fresh business achieves an adjusted operating income margin above 5% in Q2 2026.
Worry ifU.S. Fresh business adjusted operating income margin remains below 4% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows the company is doing better in a tough market. This is a good sign.
Supportive ifJuly earnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Worry ifJuly earnings report shows revenue decline or flat growth.
Why it matters: Negative sales growth shows less demand. This can create market problems and hurt performance.
Worry ifNet sales decline year over year by more than 2% in Q3.
Less concerning ifNet sales grow year over year by more than 1% in Q3.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating earnings expectations can raise investor trust and stock value.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings per share meets or exceeds $0.50.
Worry ifQ2 earnings per share falls below $0.40.
Why it matters: Finalizing the acquisition shows Pilgrim's Pride is growing its products. This could help its market position.
Supportive ifThe acquisition is complete and is now part of Pilgrim's operations.
Worry ifDelays or failure to close the acquisition create uncertainty in growth plans.
Why it matters: The lawsuit's outcome may change how management is trusted. It could also impact the company's finances.
Worry ifCourt ruling in favor of Pilgrim's Pride, dismissing the lawsuit.
Less concerning ifA court ruling against Pilgrim's Pride could lead to financial problems.
Why it matters: Commodity prices affect Pilgrim's costs and profits. Changes could show shifts in performance.
Watch forCommodity prices for chicken feed drop a lot, which improves margins.
Also watch forCommodity prices for chicken feed rise sharply, which worsens margins.