Perdoceo Education Corp. (PRDO)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$33.20+0.03%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PRDO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PRDO — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, Perdoceo Education Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release describing the Company’s financial results for the quarter and year to date ended June 30, 2026 and providing the Company’s third quarter and full year 2026 outlook. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1, and the information contained therein is incorporated herein by reference. Following the issuance of the press release, the Company…
Why it matters: More cash from operations shows better financial health. It helps with investments and dividends.
Supportive ifNet cash from operations exceeds $144 million year to date.
Worry ifNet cash from operations drops below $143 million year to date.
Why it matters: Changes in federal student aid may affect enrollment numbers. Keeping an eye on this will help understand future revenue.
Watch forEnrollments did not drop much, even with changes in federal student aid.
Also watch forEnrollments drop a lot because of changes in federal student aid.
Why it matters: Steady cash flow from operations shows good financial health. It helps with future investments.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $69.4 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $69.4 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping this growth rate shows good cost management. It also shows efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating income growth reported above 20% year over year for Q2.
Worry ifOperating income growth reported below 20% year over year for Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $359 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,722 loss on $10,000 · 27.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A higher adjusted EPS shows good performance. It also supports the story of growth.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 adjusted earnings per share exceeds $0.79.
Worry ifQ2 2026 adjusted earnings per share falls below $0.79.
Why it matters: Changes in federal student aid can impact enrollment and revenue. Monitoring this is crucial for future performance.
Worry ifNo big changes in federal student aid rules were announced.
Less concerning ifNew rules that limit federal student aid are announced.
Why it matters: Rising dividends show financial strength. They show a promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe board announces a dividend increase beyond $0.17 per share.
Worry ifThe board decides to maintain or cut the dividend at $0.17 per share.
Why it matters: This range shows strong performance. It matches management's growth goals. Hitting this target shows they are executing their strategies well.
Supportive ifAdjusted earnings per diluted share reported within the range of $0.73 to $0.74.
Worry ifAdjusted earnings per diluted share falls below $0.73.
Why it matters: This guidance shows if Perdoceo can keep growing its operating income. It shows management's confidence and strength.
Supportive ifOperating income guidance for Q3 is confirmed within the range of $54.5M to $55.5M.
Worry ifOperating income is expected to be less than $54.5M.
Why it matters: Student enrollment growth is key to revenue. A strong increase shows demand for programs and effective marketing.
Supportive ifTotal student enrollments grow more than 1.0% compared to the previous quarter.
Worry ifTotal student enrollments decline or grow less than 1.0%.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is key for long-term success. Exceeding 3.0% shows strong demand and good execution.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 3.0% compared to the previous year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is less than 3.0% or declines.