Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM)
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$74.43+1.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PRIM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PRIM — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-06
Other Events Declaration of Cash Dividends to Stockholders Events On July 31, 2026, the Company’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.08 per share of common stock for stockholders of record as of September 30, 2026, payable on or about October 15, 2026.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would show problems in the Energy segment. This would hurt overall performance.
Worry ifQ2 revenue down year over year worse than -5.4%.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue stabilizes or grows year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow is important for funding growth after a bad Q1.
Supportive ifCash from operations turns positive and exceeds $66 million in Q2.
Worry ifCash from operations stays negative or below $66 million.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows confidence in cash flow and financial health.
Supportive ifDividend remains at $0.08 per share for the upcoming payment.
Worry ifDividend is cut or suspended.
Why it matters: Strong backlog growth shows good integration and demand for services.
Supportive ifBacklog grows by more than $0.3 billion after the acquisition.
Worry ifBacklog falls or stays the same after the acquisition.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$269 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $580 loss on $10,000 · 5.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,446 loss on $10,000 · 64.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Falling below this level could mean more operational problems and cost issues.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 falls below $60.5 million.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 is over $60.5 million.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA shows how well the company is doing. A drop may show problems.
Worry ifQ2 adjusted EBITDA down year over year worse than -39.1%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA stays the same or increases each year.
Why it matters: Stable leadership is key for following the company's plan and handling problems.
Watch forA permanent COO is appointed within the next quarter.
Also watch forThe search for a COO extends beyond the next quarter without a clear timeline.
Why it matters: Confirming the dividend shows the company cares about its shareholders. It shows financial strength.
Supportive ifThe company pays the declared dividend of $0.08 per share on July 15, 2026.
Worry ifThe company suspends or cuts the dividend payment.
Why it matters: High SG&A costs can hurt profits and make cash flow harder to manage.
Worry ifSG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue stay above 6.0% in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifSG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue drop back to the targeted mid-to-high 5% range.
Why it matters: Completing these projects is important. It helps make more money and builds trust with investors.
Supportive ifAt least four of the six troubled renewable projects are mostly done by Q4 2026.
Worry ifFewer than four projects are done by Q4 2026. This shows there are still problems.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if cash from operations is increasing. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings show cash from operating activities grew by more than 10% from last year.
Worry ifCash from operating activities falls or stays the same compared to last year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well the company is performing. This is crucial for investor sentiment.
Watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows revenue decline or flat growth year over year.
Why it matters: Securing new projects will support revenue growth and improve backlog strength.
Supportive ifNew project awards in the Energy segment exceed $2.0 billion in the next quarter.
Worry ifNew project awards fall below $1.0 billion in the next quarter.