Protolabs (PRLB)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - MiscellaneousSnapshot 2026-09-04
$81.44+2.40%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - MiscellaneousSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PRLB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 55.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 46.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 0 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PRLB — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-31
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 31, 2026, Proto Labs, Inc. issued a press release announcing its second quarter 2026 financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: The new CCO's strategies may drive revenue growth and improve customer relationships.
Watch forSales growth speeds up after the CCO is appointed.
Also watch forSales growth stops or falls after the CCO is appointed.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better cost control. This can lead to more profit overall.
Supportive ifGross profit margin increases to above 45% in Q2.
Worry ifGross profit margin drops below 40% in Q2.
Why it matters: Earnings per share growth shows strong profits and good operations.
Supportive ifQ2 diluted net income per share reported at or above $0.29.
Worry ifQ2 diluted net income per share reported below $0.29.
Why it matters: CNC machining revenue growth shows strong demand for Protolabs' services. It also shows good operations.
Supportive ifCNC machining revenue grows year over year by more than 13.6%.
Worry ifCNC machining revenue growth falls below 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Protolabs is doing a good job controlling its costs. This helps its operating income grow.
Supportive ifProtolabs made more than $9.8 million in operating income.
Worry ifProtolabs made less than $9.8 million in operating income.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows that management's plans are working. This can boost investor trust.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: This metric shows how well Protolabs builds customer relationships. More money per contact means better engagement.
Supportive ifRevenue per customer contact increases year over year by more than 16%.
Worry ifRevenue per customer contact growth is below 16%.
Why it matters: Better operational efficiency can lead to higher margins and profits. This shows if Protolabs is managing costs well.
Supportive ifGAAP gross margin exceeds 46.4% in Q3.
Worry ifGAAP gross margin drops below 46.4% in Q3.
Why it matters: Growing operating income shows good cost control and revenue growth. This can improve performance.
Supportive ifOperating income increases to over $10M in Q2.
Worry ifOperating income decreases or stays below $9M in Q2.
Why it matters: This growth target shows that management believes in their plan and market demand.
Supportive ifRevenue growth for 2026 is confirmed between 6% and 8%.
Worry ifRevenue growth guidance is revised down below 6%.
Why it matters: Staying at this level shows Protolabs is making customer experience better. It also helps with engagement.
Supportive ifRevenue per customer contact is over $7,000.
Worry ifRevenue per customer contact falls below $7,000.
Why it matters: A better sector could help Protolabs grow. It may show a recovery in industrials.
Watch forSector revenue growth is speeding up again, reaching above 10%.
Also watch forSector revenue growth is slowing down, staying below 5%.
Why it matters: This shows growth is slowing down. This goes against what management expects.
Worry ifFiscal year 2026 revenue growth reported below 6%.
Less concerning ifFiscal year 2026 revenue growth reported above 8%.
Why it matters: This guidance shows if Protolabs can maintain its growth momentum. A miss could signal trouble.
Watch forQ3 revenue lands within the guided range of $145 million to $153 million.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is under $145 million. This shows weaker demand.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $354 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,951 loss on $10,000 · 19.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.