Protolabs (PRLB)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - MiscellaneousSnapshot 2026-11-04
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - MiscellaneousSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PRLB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 0 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PRLB — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-31
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 31, 2026, Proto Labs, Inc. issued a press release announcing its second quarter 2026 financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report and incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: CNC machining grew 13.6% in Q2 and 16.4% in Q3. Growth above the Q2 rate would keep this service line's recent pace intact.
Supportive ifCNC machining revenue grows more than 13.6% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifCNC machining revenue growth falls below 13.6% year over year.
Why it matters: Protolabs reported higher earnings in Q3 and raised its full-year revenue view. Q4 earnings above the range would add proof of that strength.
Supportive ifQ4 GAAP diluted earnings per share tops $0.36, or non-GAAP diluted earnings per share tops $0.54.
Worry ifQ4 GAAP diluted earnings per share is below $0.28, or non-GAAP diluted earnings per share is below $0.46.
Why it matters: The GAAP operating margin rose to 9.4% in Q3 from 6.5% a year ago. A further gain would show that higher sales still lift profit.
Supportive ifGAAP operating margin in Q4 is above 9.4%, the Q3 2026 level.
Worry ifGAAP operating margin in Q4 is below 9.4%.
Why it matters: Protolabs raised its 2026 growth view after four straight quarters of double-digit growth. A Q4 result above its range would extend that run.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue tops $151 million, the high end of the company's $143 million to $151 million range.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue falls below $143 million, the low end of the company's range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$166 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $365 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,263 loss on $10,000 · 32.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.