PERASO INC (PRSO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.35-11.36%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PRSO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 92.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 182.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 50 industry peers
PRSO — private placement
Dated 2026-11-03
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. As previously reported in the Current Report on Form 8-K filed by Peraso Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on October 26, 2026 (the “Prior Form 8-K”), on October 26, 2026, the Company entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Nant Capital, LLC (the “Purchaser” and, together with its affiliates, “Nant”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to…
Why it matters: The CFO left in September, and the CEO took over on an interim basis. Naming a replacement would fill a key finance role.
Supportive ifA company filing or release names a new CFO who has taken the role.
Worry ifA company filing says the CEO is still interim CFO. Or it reports another finance leader leaving.
Why it matters: Management said memory prices and tight component supply disrupt orders through Q4. More delays could limit sales.
Worry ifThe Q3 report says component limits delayed customer orders or shipments. Or Q4 revenue falls below Q2's $1.3 million.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 report says key components arrived on time and shipments faced no supply delays.
Why it matters: The deal is set to add cash for daily needs and drone work. Its close is a clear test of the stated funding plan.
Supportive ifA company filing confirms the Nant deal closed. It says Peraso received about $10 million before costs.
Worry ifA company filing says the deal failed to close, ended, or was delayed past the stated closing window.
Why it matters: Peraso has shipped initial drone products and reports more customer interest. Paid orders would show that interest is turning into sales.
Supportive ifPeraso names a drone customer order or design win. It reports a related product shipment or revenue.
Worry ifPeraso reports no drone orders or design wins. Or it says customer evaluations have stopped.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$321 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $872 loss on $10,000 · 8.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,283 loss on $10,000 · 82.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Peraso lost $2.2 million in Q2 and still spends more than it earns. Another large loss would keep pressure on its cash needs.
Worry ifThe November 9 report shows a net loss greater than $2 million or operating costs above revenue.
Less concerning ifThe November 9 report shows a net loss below $2 million and a smaller loss than Q2's $2.2 million.