Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. (PRTH)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.92+0.13%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.25 → 1.25 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 3 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 3 to 3; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for PRTH yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain Adjusted EBITDA between $230M to $245M in 2026 | Profit stays strong with adjusted EBITDA near $230M to $245M. | Intact | Adjusted EBITDA falls below $230M in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “1 EXHIBIT 99.1 Full Year 2026 Financial Guidance Priority Commerce's outlook remains strong and we affirm our full year 2026 guidance: • Revenue forecast to range between $1.01 billion to $1.04 billion, a growth rate of 6% to 9% compared to fiscal 2025 results • Adjusted gross profit (a non-GAAP measure) forecast to range between $405 million and $425 million • Adjusted EBITDA (a non-GAAP measure) forecast to range between $230 million to $245 million Conference Call The Company will host a conference call on Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 10:00 a.m.” “6 EXHIBIT 99.1 About Priority Commerce Priority Commerce delivers payments and banking solutions that power connected commerce.” Operating income was $33.044 million in 2026-Q2. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
PRTH is a growth-oriented payments business with an acquisition-led expansion element, rather than a clear turnaround. Its long-term thesis is intact, though the latest signal is mixed and confidence in the assessment is medium.
The evidence describes PRTH as cheap versus peers, but the valuation assessment has low model confidence. Expectations appear relatively restrained, while the valuation score fell sharply and the overall signal shifted from mildly favorable to mixed.
Near term, first-half revenue and adjusted EBITDA increased, and management reaffirmed its 2026 guidance, with both growth and profitability priorities on track. The smaller company size and recent peer misses leave some risk of weaker results, while the IntelliPay acquisition adds public-sector reach but its contribution is still limited so far.
The next guidance update is a key swing factor: a cut would weaken the thesis, while continued delivery would support it. Over the multi-year view, the acquisition’s contribution matters, and easier interest rates or stabilization among large technology companies could improve the sector backdrop.
For the next 1 to 3 years, the thesis rests on continued growth, delivery against reaffirmed profitability guidance, and effective expansion into the public sector. The setup has supportive valuation evidence but elevated risk and mixed signals. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Achieve 6% to 9% revenue growth in 2026 | A primary condition in Priority Technology Holdings, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is 6% to 9% YoY revenue growth. | Intact | YoY revenue growth falls below 6% in FY26 | Revenue growth: 9.36% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: 6% to 9% YoY revenue growth. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 6, 20269.358998 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “1 EXHIBIT 99.1 Full Year 2026 Financial Guidance Priority Commerce's outlook remains strong and we affirm our full year 2026 guidance: • Revenue forecast to range between $1.01 billion to $1.04 billion, a growth rate of 6% to 9% compared to fiscal 2025 results • Adjusted gross profit (a non-GAAP measure) forecast to range between $405 million and $425 million • Adjusted EBITDA (a non-GAAP measure) forecast to range between $230 million to $245 million Conference Call The Company will host a conference call on Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 10:00 a.m.” “6 EXHIBIT 99.1 About Priority Commerce Priority Commerce delivers payments and banking solutions that power connected commerce.” Revenue was $262.256 million in 2026-Q2. Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Maintain valuation discount with PE below 10 | A supporting condition in Priority Technology Holdings, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is PE below 10. | Intact | PE rises above 10 without earnings growth | P/E (TTM): 7.07x As of 2026-11-04; trailing twelve months. The target timing and basis require a separate assessment. Nov 4, 20267.0714 ratio · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.25 → $1.25 · observed estimates
$1.10B → $1.11B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.25 | $1,112,116,600 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.25 | $1,112,116,600 | 2 / 5 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.26 | $1,113,456,600 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.26 | $1,113,456,600 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.25 | $1,101,555,200 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.12 | $1,113,456,600 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.12 | $1,113,456,600 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.12 | $1,113,456,600 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.12 | $1,113,463,900 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.08 | $1,114,845,750 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.25 | $1,112,966,667 | 3 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 0 Buy / Strong Buy · 3 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.