Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Power Solutions International, Inc. (PSIX)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$39.67-19.75%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
3.90 → 3.90 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 2 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for PSIX yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Growth and margin improvement from data center products | Data center products may boost sales and margins. | Broken | data center sales or margins decline in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “The Company continues to see strong demand for data center power solutions.” “Based on the current production schedule and information available as of the date of this release, the Company expects second-half 2026 sales to exceed first-half 2026 sales and to be approximately in line with sales in the second half of 2025, as larger Power Systems orders move into production and are recognized as revenue.” Revenue was $152.544 million in 2026-Q2. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 5, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a higher-risk industrial growth business with a data center demand opportunity, rather than a proven durable compounder. The long-term thesis is on watch: recent performance is below its industry cohort, though it has not freshly broken.
The valuation evidence describes PSIX as cheap versus peers, while the expectations gap is negative, meaning market expectations appear cautious relative to the model. Priced-in fragility is low, and the evidence tags expectations as justified, so the low relative valuation does not by itself resolve the business risks.
Near term, management has shown progress on data center growth: revenue rose sequentially from the first to the second quarter of 2026, and gross margin moved above its stated 25% goal. Management expects second-half sales to exceed first-half sales, but order timing, capacity ramp-up costs, erratic earnings surprises, and the downward trend in surprises remain risks.
The multi-year thesis depends on sustained data center demand, larger Power Systems orders, and keeping margins around or above management’s goal. Near term, a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative; continued strong results and higher guidance from industrial bellwethers could support the sector backdrop, while misses or lower guidance could remove that support.
Over the next one to three years, PSIX has a credible growth opportunity and evidence of improving revenue and margins, but the high risk and below-cohort performance leave execution uncertain. The long-term thesis hinges on delivery against second-half expectations and the direction of the industrial sector. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Maintain gross margin at or above 25% | A primary condition in Power Solutions International, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >=25% gross margin. | Improving | gross margin falls below 25% in FY26 | Gross margin: 27.12% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=25% gross margin. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 6, 202627.118733 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stronger sales growth in second half of 2026 | Sales should grow in the second half of 2026. | Broken | H2 2026 sales growth falls below H2 2025 sales | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$3.32 → $3.90 · observed estimates
$0.80B → $0.81B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-07-27 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-08-03 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $3.32 | $804,466,670 | 1 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-13 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $3.83 | $804,566,667 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $3.90 | $814,600,000 | 2 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.