Parsons Corporation (PSN)
NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$50.34-3.95%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PSN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 4.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 28 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PSN — CFO transition
Dated 2026-10-28
CFO — Matt Ofilos: The CFO resigned to pursue another opportunity, but the company immediately appointed a known former CFO and current director as Interim CFO, indicating an orderly transition rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Parsons has signed a sale deal and is working on contract novation. Closing would mark progress on its portfolio changes.
Supportive ifParsons says the sale is complete. The remote-location contracts have moved to the buyer.
Worry ifParsons reports that the sale or contract transfer is delayed, changed, or not completed.
Why it matters: Parsons kept its cash flow range after a strong Q3. The final result will show whether it can meet that lower annual target.
Supportive ifFY2026 operating cash flow lands within the Q3-reiterated range of $430 million to $490 million.
Worry ifFY2026 operating cash flow falls below $430 million or Parsons cuts the range again.
Why it matters: Q3 results beat commitments, and Parsons kept the revenue outlook midpoint. The year-end result tests whether the lower plan is on track.
Supportive ifFY2026 revenue lands within the narrowed range disclosed with Q3 results.
Worry ifFY2026 revenue falls below the narrowed range or Parsons cuts its revenue outlook again.
Why it matters: Backlog reached a record, and Q3 book-to-bill was above 1.0x. Continued bookings would support future work across both segments.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports book-to-bill at or above 1.0x and funded backlog above Q3's $6.8 billion.
Worry ifBook-to-bill falls below 1.0x and funded backlog drops below $6.8 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$159 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $410 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,345 loss on $10,000 · 53.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The interim CFO is a former Parsons CFO and current board member. A permanent hire will show whether the finance handoff stays orderly.
Watch forParsons names a permanent CFO. It reports no delays to financial reports or guidance during the handoff.
Also watch forThe search remains open for several quarters, or Parsons reports a delay or change tied to the CFO handoff.