PVH Corp. (PVH)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$74.33+2.58%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · PVH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
PVH — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-05
Other Events. The Executive Committee of the Board of Directors of PVH Corp. (the “Company”) declared on August 5, 2026 a quarterly cash dividend of $0.0375 per share on the Company’s common stock. The dividend is payable on September 23, 2026 to stockholders of record on September 2, 2026. A press release announcing the dividend is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Better operating income is key for PVH's finances and growth.
Supportive ifOperating income was over $250 million in Q2.
Worry ifOperating income stays below $200 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Higher gross profit margins can signal better pricing power and cost control. This can enhance earnings.
Supportive ifGross profit margins increase by more than 2% year-over-year.
Worry ifGross profit margins decline or stay flat year-over-year.
Why it matters: Management wants to improve operating income. This can help make more money.
Supportive ifOperating income has increased by more than 5% compared to last year.
Worry ifOperating income either falls or rises less than 2% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow supports ongoing investments and stability. It is key for growth.
Supportive ifCash from operations exceeds $600M in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $600M in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Updates on the stock repurchase program show commitment to returning value to shareholders. It reflects financial health.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least $300 million in stock repurchases for 2026.
Worry ifNo progress or announcement on stock repurchases by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: The ongoing conflict may hurt sales in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. This could affect overall revenue growth.
Worry ifEMEA revenue declines more than 5% year over year in Q2.
Less concerning ifEMEA revenue remains flat or grows year over year in Q2.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is crucial for funding operations and dividends. It shows financial health.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations stays above $100 million for two quarters in a row.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $50 million for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial plans and focus on operations.
Watch forAlexis Rollier starts new financial strategies in the first quarter.
Also watch forThe new CFO's transition faces big delays or problems.
Why it matters: Stabilizing DTC revenue is key to long-term growth for Calvin Klein and TOMMY HILFIGER.
Watch forDTC revenue growth remains flat or positive compared to the prior year.
Also watch forDTC revenue declines year over year for Q3.
Why it matters: Progress on stock buybacks can signal confidence in financial health and support share price.
Supportive ifPVH announces completion of at least $300 million in stock repurchases by year-end.
Worry ifPVH fails to initiate any stock repurchases by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can indicate consumer demand. This affects PVH's sales and growth outlook.
Watch forThe Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales growth over 3% from last year.
Also watch forThe Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales drop of more than 1% from last year.
Why it matters: Weakness in EMEA may show that consumers are facing more pressure from global issues.
Worry ifEMEA revenue shows a decline greater than 5% year over year in Q2.
Less concerning ifEMEA revenue growth exceeds 2% year over year in Q2.
Why it matters: Beating margin goals shows good cost control. It also means better profits.
Supportive ifOperating margin exceeds 8.8% on a non-GAAP basis for Q3.
Worry ifOperating margin falls below 8.8% on a non-GAAP basis for Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$182 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $430 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,194 loss on $10,000 · 31.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.