Qualcomm (QCOM)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-07-07
$182.97-1.88%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $182.97. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $183 QCOM trades at 16× p/e, below its 73× p/e peer median. Our $265 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $120–$300. Not investment advice.
$120.00 – $300.00 (median $205.00) · 28 analysts · as of 2026-06-29
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 8% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $10.40/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $205.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $399.62 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $416.64 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $54.36 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $81.07 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $228.55 | 19.4 | 12.27 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $586.61 | 50.3 | 11.66 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $829.71 | 73.4 | 11.31 | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $435.08 | 10.5 | 41.50 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $60.26 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $186.56 | 16.5 | 11.31 | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $864.86 | 73.4 | 11.79 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $892.15 | 50.3 | 17.74 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $802.35 | 73.4 | 10.94 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $413.74 | 10.5 | 39.46 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $180.41 | 16.5 | 10.94 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $1179.87 | 50.3 | 23.46 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $775.90 | 73.4 | 10.58 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $400.10 | 10.5 | 38.16 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $174.46 | 16.5 | 10.58 | Analyst | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.