Ralliant Corp (RAL)
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$63.46+1.15%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RAL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 298 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RAL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-12
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: This guidance shows Ralliant's growth plans and how it handles market issues.
Supportive ifFull-year revenue guidance is set between $2.185 billion and $2.245 billion.
Worry ifFull-year revenue guidance is cut to below $2.185 billion.
Why it matters: Progress on this program shows a commitment to giving money back to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe $100 million share buyback program is completed.
Worry ifNo major share buybacks reported by the next earnings call.
Why it matters: This program shows Ralliant cares about its shareholders. It may help investor trust.
Supportive ifCompletion of the ASR program with a total of $100 million in shares repurchased.
Worry ifThe ASR program is not completed by the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: This margin range shows how well Ralliant manages costs while growing revenue. It affects profits.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was above 21.0%. This shows good cost management and revenue growth.
Worry ifThe adjusted EBITDA margin was under 20.0%. This may show cost problems or less revenue.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$140 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $340 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,179 loss on $10,000 · 31.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows the company controls costs well. This leads to more profit.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q2 shows a year-over-year increase of more than 10%.
Worry ifOperating income in Q2 falls or grows less than 5% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Share repurchases signal confidence in the company's value. It can support stock price and shareholder returns.
Supportive ifManagement reports they are doing more share buybacks using the $400 million plan.
Worry ifNo share buybacks happen, or management says they are pausing the program.
Why it matters: Stable margins mean better profits. They also show effective operations.
Supportive ifNet earnings margin reported above 8.3%.
Worry ifNet earnings margin reported below 7.5%.
Why it matters: This range indicates profitability. If EPS is at the high end, it shows strong earnings performance.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS was over $0.78. This shows strong earnings.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS was under $0.72. This suggests weaker profits.
Why it matters: Growth in operating income shows the company is getting more efficient. This can help investors feel better.
Supportive ifOperating income will go above $70 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income falls below $68 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: The FOMC's choices can change interest rates and market conditions. This affects Ralliant's results.
Watch forThe FOMC has decided to lower interest rates.
Also watch forFOMC announces a decision to raise interest rates.
Why it matters: This range shows if Ralliant can keep its growth momentum. Meeting or exceeding this range would confirm strong demand.
Supportive ifRevenue reported for Q3 falls within the range of $570 million to $590 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $570 million.
Why it matters: This shows Ralliant cares about giving money back to shareholders. Hitting this target means strong cash flow.
Supportive ifManagement says share buybacks are about 50% of free cash flow.
Worry ifShare repurchases fall below 50% of free cash flow.