LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. (RAMP)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RAMP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 57.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 68 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RAMP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 5, 2026, LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the results of its financial performance for its first quarter ended June 30, 2026. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit attached hereto, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securitie…
Why it matters: This revenue target is a key indicator of ongoing growth. Meeting it would show strong demand for LiveRamp's services.
Supportive ifQ1 FY27 revenue reported between $203 million and $207 million.
Worry ifQ1 FY27 revenue falls below $203 million.
Why it matters: Legal problems could delay or stop the merger. This would hurt shareholder value and company plans.
Worry ifNo new major legal challenges threaten the merger.
Less concerning ifNew litigation filed that could delay or block the merger.
Why it matters: A drop below 100% means customers are leaving. This may show weak demand for LiveRamp.
Worry ifSubscription net retention rate reported at 100% or higher.
Less concerning ifSubscription net retention rate is below 100%.
Why it matters: Slower revenue growth may show weaker demand. It could also mean more competition.
Worry ifIn Q1 2027, revenue growth was below 8% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifQ1 2027 revenue growth reported at or above 8% year-over-year.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$21 on $10,000 · ±0.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $318 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,740 loss on $10,000 · 27.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Court cases could delay or stop the merger. This would affect shareholder value.
Worry ifCourt cases end well with no delays to the merger.
Less concerning ifCourt cases cause delays or problems in the merger process.
Why it matters: The merger is a key growth priority. Progress could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifA public announcement shows the merger is complete or has made big progress.
Worry ifNews of delays or complications in the merger process.
Why it matters: Delays could mean problems with the merger and hurt investor trust.
Worry ifMerger completion remains on track with no reported delays.
Less concerning ifManagement says there is a delay in the merger timeline.
Why it matters: The outcome of this vote will determine if the merger with Publicis proceeds. A successful vote indicates strong shareholder support.
Supportive ifMost shareholders vote yes for the purchase.
Worry ifMost shareholders do not support the purchase.
Why it matters: Keeping GAAP operating income above $20 million shows good cost control. It shows efficiency.
Supportive ifGAAP operating income was above $20 million in Q2 results.
Worry ifGAAP operating income was below $15 million in Q2 results.
Why it matters: Improving operating income is crucial for financial health. Results will show progress.
Watch forOperating income goes up compared to last year in the Q1 earnings report.
Also watch forOperating income goes down or stays the same in the Q1 earnings report.
Why it matters: Growth over 10% shows strong demand and good execution. This helps management's growth plan.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth is over 10% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 8% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Stable subscription revenue growth shows that customers still want the service. This is good for the business.
Supportive ifSubscription revenue will grow by more than 8% year-over-year next quarter.
Worry ifSubscription revenue growth is less than 8% year-over-year.
Why it matters: More share buybacks show that management believes in the company's value and growth.
Supportive ifShare repurchases exceed $100 million in fiscal year 2027.
Worry ifShare repurchases remain below $100 million in fiscal year 2027.
Why it matters: The merger is key for LiveRamp's growth strategy and could enhance its market position.
Supportive ifThe merger will close by December 31, 2026. All approvals are in place.
Worry ifThe merger faces delays or fails to close by the end of 2026.