Rave Restaurant Group Inc (RAVE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.21+2.55%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RAVE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -44.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 51.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
RAVE — legal / regulatory event — Changes in Registrant’s Certifying
Dated 2026-02-17
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountants. (a) Effective February 10, 2026, Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. (the “ Company ”) dismissed Whitley Penn LLP (“ Whitley Penn ”) as the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. The decision to change accountants was approved by the Audit Committee of the Company’s board of directors. The reports of Whitley Penn on the Company’s financial statements as of and for the fiscal years ended June 29, 2025, and June 30, 2024, did not contain…
Why it matters: Fiscal 2026 net income rose to $2.9 million. Higher profit would extend the gains; lower profit would break that trend.
Watch forFiscal 2027 net income exceeds $2.9 million, the fiscal 2026 result.
Also watch forFiscal 2027 net income is below $2.9 million.
Why it matters: Pie Five sales fell 9.9% for fiscal 2026 and 17.3% in the fourth quarter. A smaller drop would show the decline is easing.
Supportive ifPie Five domestic same-store sales decline by less than 9.9% year over year for fiscal 2027, or turn positive.
Worry ifPie Five domestic same-store sales fall by 9.9% or more for fiscal 2027, or worsen from the fourth-quarter 17.3% drop.
Why it matters: Management aims to open the first five restaurants under a 10-buffet deal. These openings would show whether Pizza Inn growth is speeding up.
Supportive ifCompany reports that at least five restaurants in the 10-buffet deal opened in fiscal 2027.
Worry ifFewer than five restaurants under the deal open by the end of fiscal 2027, or the deal is canceled.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $452 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,994 loss on $10,000 · 39.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.