RBC Bearings (RBC)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$477.05-3.83%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RBC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 8.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: RBC set a $520 million to $525 million sales range. A result below it would break the near-term growth pace.
Worry ifFiscal Q3 2027 net sales are below $520 million.
Less concerning ifFiscal Q3 2027 net sales are $520 million or higher.
Why it matters: Backlog rose to $2.4 billion from $1.6 billion a year earlier. RBC also said the next six months look stronger.
Supportive ifBacklog stays at or above $2.4 billion, and reported sales rise year over year in both of the next two quarters.
Worry ifBacklog falls below $2.3 billion, or sales fall year over year in either of the next two quarters.
Why it matters: RBC's latest gross margin was 45.6%. Its next-quarter range starts at 45.5%.
Worry ifFiscal Q3 2027 gross margin is below 45.5%.
Less concerning ifFiscal Q3 2027 gross margin is 45.5% or higher.
Why it matters: RBC's latest SG&A was 15.9% of sales. Its next-quarter range tops out at 16.5%.
Worry ifFiscal Q3 2027 SG&A is above 16.5% of sales.
Less concerning ifFiscal Q3 2027 SG&A is 16.5% of sales or lower.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$123 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $286 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,877 loss on $10,000 · 28.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: RBC bought PSC Couplings for $24.2 million. The deal adds disc coupling products to its Industrial business.
Watch forRBC reports rising Industrial sales and gross margin of at least 45.5% in the next quarter.
Also watch forIndustrial sales fall year over year, or gross margin drops below 45.5% in the next quarter.