RBC Bearings (RBC)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$488.54-0.46%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RBC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RBC — credit agreement
Dated 2025-10-30
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 28, 2025, RBC Bearings Incorporated (the “Company”) and its subsidiary, Roller Bearing Company of America, Inc. (“RBCA”), entered into that certain Second Amendment to Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent (the “Agent”), and the lenders party thereto (the “Second Amendment”). The Second Amendment amends that certain Credit Agreement, dated as of November 1, 2021 and amended as of December 5,…
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how RBC is performing amid sector headwinds. Strong results could boost confidence.
Supportive ifEarnings per share are over $1.50. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifEarnings per share falls below $1.00, suggesting weaker results.
Why it matters: Good integration can improve RBC's products and market position. It shows their growth strategy works.
Supportive ifManagement says the integration is going well. PSC Couplings added revenue in 6 months.
Worry ifIntegration problems can cause delays or lower revenue from PSC Couplings.
Why it matters: A growing backlog means strong sales ahead. It shows strong demand in Aerospace & Defense and Industrial.
Supportive ifBacklog is over $2.3 billion.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or stays below $2.3 billion.
Why it matters: Meeting this sales goal shows RBC is growing in Aerospace & Defense and Industrial markets.
Supportive ifQ2 2027 net sales reported at $505M or higher.
Worry ifQ2 2027 net sales reported below $505M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$109 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $267 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,471 loss on $10,000 · 24.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping this margin range shows good cost control and efficient operations.
Supportive ifQ2 2027 gross margin reported at 45.5% or higher.
Worry ifQ2 2027 gross margin reported below 45.5%.
Why it matters: This report will provide insights into revenue and margin performance.
Watch forEarnings report shows strong revenue and margin results.
Also watch forEarnings report reveals weak revenue and margin results.
Why it matters: If revenue growth improves, it may signal a turnaround for RBC and its peers. This could lead to better stock performance.
Supportive if3-year revenue growth in the sector rises above 10%.
Worry if3-year revenue growth stays below 8%.
Why it matters: Staying within the target for SG&A expenses shows good cost management.
Supportive ifSG&A reported at 16.5% or lower in Q2 2027.
Worry ifSG&A reported above 16.75% in Q2 2027.