Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REFI
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(-6.6) + peer(0.2*0) + term(0.0) → -2.32% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Provisional scorecard: fewer than 4 guided quarters in the corpus.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 11, 2026, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of th…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Se…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 12, 2026, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Sect…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2025, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2025, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Se…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 12, 2025, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2024. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Sect…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 7, 2024, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 7, 2024, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2024, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Se…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 12, 2024, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2023. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Sect…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 8, 2023, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2023. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 9, 2023, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2023. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securi…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 9, 2023, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2023. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securiti…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 9, 2023, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2022. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Secti…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K. SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this Current Report on Form 8-K to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. CHICAGO ATLANTIC REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC. Date: November 9, 2022 By: /s/ Anthony Cappell Name: Anthony Cappell Title: Chief Executive Officer 2
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 9, 2022, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2022. The text of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information set forth under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securi…