Regency Centers (REG)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$75.26-0.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REG
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $75 REG trades at 13× p/ffo, in line with its 12× p/ffo peer median — but our blended $66 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $81–$92. Note: our $66 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($81–$92). Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $77 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $85.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $47.41 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $31.01 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $58.04 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$81.00 – $92.00 (median $85.00) · 12 analysts · as of 2026-08-17
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $64.97 |
| 21.4 |
| 3.04 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $71.21 | 12.5 | 5.70 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $69.01 | 7.3 | 9.52 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $42.38 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $46.25 | 12.5 | 3.70 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $62.94 | 21.4 | 2.95 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 3Y | $102.87 | 12.5 | 8.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $77.20 | 7.3 | 10.65 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $61.62 | 21.4 | 2.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $131.46 | 12.5 | 10.53 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $83.06 | 7.3 | 11.46 | Analyst | medium |