Regency Centers (REG)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$76.84+2.22%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 17.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers
REG — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-06
Regulation FD Disclosures Declaration of Dividend for Common Stock and Series A and Series B Preferred Stock On August 5, 2026, the Board of Directors of Regency Centers Corporation (the “Company”): 1. Declared a dividend on the Company's common stock of $0.755 per share, payable on October 2, 2026 to shareholders of record as of September 11, 2026. 2. Declared a dividend on the Company’s 6.250% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (the “Series A Preferred Stock”), which will be pai…
Why it matters: Regency reported 5.0x net debt and preferred stock to operating earnings. A rise would reverse recent progress on its balance sheet.
Worry ifQ3 net debt and preferred stock to trailing operating EBITDA is above 5.0x.
Less concerning ifQ3 leverage is at or below 5.0x.
Why it matters: Regency signed leases at a 10.4% cash rent spread in Q2. A sharp drop would weaken evidence of strong tenant demand.
Worry ifQ3 comparable lease cash rent spreads are below 10.4%.
Less concerning ifQ3 comparable lease cash rent spreads are at least 10.4%.
Why it matters: Regency set 2026 FFO guidance at $4.84–$4.88 per share. A lower range would signal weaker full-year results.
Worry ifOn or after November 5, Regency cuts 2026 FFO guidance below $4.84 per share.
Less concerning ifRegency keeps guidance at $4.84–$4.88 per share or raises it.
Why it matters: Regency raised its 2026 NOI growth range to 3.7%–4.1%. A Q3 result below 3.7% would put that target at risk.
Worry ifQ3 same-property NOI growth is below 3.7% year over year, or Regency lowers its 2026 range below 3.7%.
Less concerning ifQ3 same-property NOI growth is at least 3.7%, and Regency keeps or raises its 2026 range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$49 on $10,000 · ±0.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $153 loss on $10,000 · 1.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,437 loss on $10,000 · 14.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Regency had $680 million of projects in progress at an estimated 9% yield. Higher costs or lower yields could weaken project returns.
Worry ifRegency reports project costs over $680 million. The estimated yield drops below 9%.
Less concerning ifProject costs stay at or below $680 million and the estimated yield stays at or above 9%.