Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$25.13+4.32%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · REYN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
REYN — earnings in line
Dated 2026-02-04
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing.
Why it matters: Foam declines drove much of the segment's lower sales. A deeper drop could keep weighing on total volume, even as cost savings lift earnings.
Worry ifThe segment's retail volume falls more than 14% year over year, or falls more than 8% without foam.
Less concerning ifThe segment's retail volume drop is smaller than 14%, or turns positive after foam is excluded.
Why it matters: Retail volumes fell 5% in Q2, or 2% without foam. Another drop could point to weaker demand across its products.
Worry ifQ3 retail volumes fall more than 5% year over year, or fall more than 2% without foam.
Less concerning ifQ3 retail volumes are flat or higher year over year, including when foam is excluded.
Why it matters: Management raised its 2026 sales outlook to 1% to 3% growth. The next report can show whether pricing gains offset lower volumes.
Supportive ifManagement keeps full-year revenue guidance at 1% to 3% growth. Or full-year revenue tops 2025's $3,721 million.
Worry ifManagement cuts full-year revenue guidance to below 1% growth. Or full-year revenue falls below $3,721 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$97 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $249 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,071 loss on $10,000 · 20.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.