RF Industries Ltd (RFIL)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.48-2.60%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RFIL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 12.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RFIL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 14, 2026, RF Industries, Ltd. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing information regarding the Company’s financial results for the third quarter ended July 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information furnished in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the accompanying Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to b…
Why it matters: The sector signal points to slowing growth and a headwind. RFIL's sales growth against that backdrop can show whether company demand holds up.
Watch forRFIL reports year-over-year sales growth in its next reported quarter.
Also watch forRFIL reports lower sales than a year earlier in its next quarter.
Why it matters: Q3 sales set a record at $23.96 million. Another strong quarter would support the growth trend.
Supportive ifThe next reported quarter has sales above $23.96 million and higher sales than the same quarter last year.
Worry ifThe next reported quarter has sales below $23.96 million and lower sales than the same quarter last year.
Why it matters: Backlog fell from $20.1 million after Q2 to $18.6 million at Q3 close. Rebuilding it could support future sales visibility.
Watch forQuarter-end backlog tops $20 million, and bookings exceed sales for that quarter.
Also watch forQuarter-end backlog falls below $18.6 million, or bookings stay below sales.
Why it matters: Higher-value cabling and system sales have helped lift margins. A drop below 35% would weaken evidence that this mix shift is working.
Watch forGross margin remains at or above 35% in the next reported quarter.
Also watch forGross margin falls below 35% in the next reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$264 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $924 loss on $10,000 · 9.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,870 loss on $10,000 · 68.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.