RF Industries Ltd (RFIL)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$10.51+3.24%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RFIL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 34.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers
RFIL — credit agreement
Dated 2025-11-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On November 5, 2025, RF Industries, Ltd. (the “Company”) entered into the Second Amendment to Loan and Security Agreement (the “EBC Second Amendment”), by and among the Company, the Company’s subsidiaries Cables Unlimited, Inc., Rel-Tech Electronics, Inc., C Enterprises, Inc., Schroff Technologies International, Inc., and Microlab/FXR LLC (collectively with the Company, the “Borrowers”), Eclipse Business Capital LLC, as agent (“EBC”), and the lender…
Why it matters: The industrial sector is maturing. Changes may affect RF Industries' growth and market position.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up above 5%. This boosts RFIL's chances.
Also watch forSector revenue growth slows to below 3%. This hurts RFIL's performance.
Why it matters: Net income above this level would show ongoing profits and improvements.
Supportive ifQ3 net income is over $1 million. This shows continued financial health.
Worry ifQ3 net income is below $500,000. This indicates possible issues.
Why it matters: A stable or growing backlog indicates strong future sales. It reflects demand for RF Industries' products.
Supportive ifBacklog was over $20 million in Q3. This confirms strong demand.
Worry ifBacklog falls below $18 million. This suggests demand is weakening.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector shows renewed growth, it could benefit RF Industries. This would signal a better market environment.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth is over 5% year over year. This shows a positive change.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is below 5%. This means it is still slowing down.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well the company is doing. They will also show how management is handling growth plans.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth and improved margins.
Also watch forEarnings report shows revenue or margins are going down.
Why it matters: The recent earnings beat shows strong performance may continue. This can help investor confidence.
Supportive ifThe next earnings report will show results above what analysts expect.
Worry ifNext earnings report falls short of analyst expectations.
Why it matters: Backlog is a key indicator of future revenue. A stable or growing backlog suggests strong demand.
Supportive ifBacklog increases above $20 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifBacklog is below $20 million. This shows demand is weaker.
Why it matters: Success in these areas could prove management's plan to grow and diversify.
Watch forRevenue from aerospace and data center applications grows by over 15% in Q3.
Also watch forRevenue from these sectors declines or remains flat.
Why it matters: Management expects revenue growth to pick up in the second half of fiscal 2026. This would show strong demand and execution.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is over $21 million. This shows growth is speeding up.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is under $20 million. This shows no growth is happening.
Why it matters: Hitting this target would mean making more money and working better.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 reaches or exceeds $2.1 million, which is 10% of revenue.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is less than $2 million. This shows ongoing money issues.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$321 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $872 loss on $10,000 · 8.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,321 loss on $10,000 · 53.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.