RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-09-04
$21.93+0.92%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RGCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -7.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RGCO — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-05
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION On August 5, 2026, RGC Resources, Inc. issued a press release announcing the results for the third quarter ending June 30, 2026. A copy of this press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated by reference.
Why it matters: Using the promissory note well can help with finances and support growth.
Supportive ifManagement will share projects that the $15 million promissory note will fund.
Worry ifNo updates on the usage of the promissory note or delays in planned projects.
Why it matters: Updates on the MVP pipeline can impact how the company performs and its margins.
Supportive ifGood news about MVP pipeline operations or plans to grow.
Worry ifBad news about MVP pipeline delays or problems.
Why it matters: Changes in operating margins show how well the company controls costs and prices.
Watch forOperating margin improves year over year by more than 5%.
Also watch forOperating margin declines year over year by more than 5%.
Why it matters: The outcome of the rate case affects revenue and profit. A good decision could improve financial results.
Watch forThe State Corporation Commission approves the interim rates. There will be no refunds.
Also watch forThe State Corporation Commission does not approve the interim rates. They may delay approval.
Why it matters: If operating expenses rise significantly, it could pressure margins and net income. This is crucial for financial health.
Worry ifOperating costs are stable or lower than last quarter.
Less concerning ifOperating expenses rise a lot beyond current levels. This may show inefficiencies.
Why it matters: Earnings above this level would show growth. This helps management's goal to increase net income.
Supportive ifQ3 earnings per share reported above $0.84.
Worry ifQ3 earnings per share reported below $0.84.
Why it matters: The outcome of the rate case can impact revenue and margins. This is key for future earnings.
Supportive ifApproval of the expedited rate case with no refunds required.
Worry ifThe expedited rate case may be denied. Big refunds might be needed.
Why it matters: If operating costs go over $15.9 million, it could hurt profits. This is key for staying profitable.
Worry ifOperating costs are reported above $15.9 million for the next quarter.
Less concerning ifOperating costs are at or below $15.9 million. This shows better cost management.
Why it matters: Higher operating costs can lower net income and total profits.
Worry ifOperating expenses increase year over year by more than 10%.
Less concerning ifOperating expenses decrease or stay flat year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows financial strength. Cuts may worry investors.
Watch forThe dividend per share stays the same or goes up in the Q3 announcement.
Also watch forDividend per share is cut or suspended in the Q3 announcement.
Why it matters: Net income growth signals that RGC Resources is managing costs and increasing margins. This supports the goal of raising EPS.
Supportive ifQ3 net income exceeds $14.2 million, showing growth from the previous year.
Worry ifQ3 net income is less than $14.2 million. This shows no growth or a decline.
Why it matters: RGC Resources is raising dividends. This shows they want to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifDividends per share increase beyond $0.2175 in the next quarter.
Worry ifDividends per share remain at $0.2175 or decrease.
Why it matters: Inflation raises costs and lowers margins. Big expense increases can hurt profits.
Worry ifOperating costs are up more than 5% from last quarter.
Less concerning ifOperating costs are up 5% or less from last quarter.
Why it matters: The MVP pipeline affects RGC's profits and customer service. Good news can raise growth confidence.
Watch forManagement says the MVP pipeline is doing better. This helps customers.
Also watch forManagement says there are problems or delays with the MVP pipeline.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $283 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,911 loss on $10,000 · 19.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.