RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-11-04
$23.83+5.63%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RGCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 10.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
RGCO — capital allocation — CREATION OF A DIRECT FINANCIAL OBLIGATION OR AN OBLIGATION UNDER AN OFF-BALAN…
Dated 2026-11-02
CREATION OF A DIRECT FINANCIAL OBLIGATION OR AN OBLIGATION UNDER AN OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENT The information required by this
Why it matters: The report will update net income, gas volumes, and costs after Q3. These figures test the recent pattern of growth.
Watch forThe report shows net income and delivered firm volumes grew from the prior year. Costs do not erase margin gains.
Also watch forThe report shows lower net income and firm volumes, or costs again erase margin gains.
Why it matters: The quarterly dividend rose from $0.2075 to $0.2175. A cut would break the recent pattern of growth.
Watch forThe next declared quarterly dividend is at least $0.2175 per share.
Also watch forThe next declared quarterly dividend is below $0.2175 per share.
Why it matters: One industrial customer stopped work. More lost firm volume could weaken margins, even as other industrial use grows.
Worry ifThe next earnings report shows delivered firm volumes below last year. Or, it shows a lower operating margin tied to the shutdown.
Less concerning ifDelivered firm volumes stay at or above last year. Operating margin rises despite the shutdown.
Why it matters: Net income rose in the first nine months. A full-year gain would show that margin growth and lower interest costs continued.
Supportive ifFiscal 2026 net income is above $14.2 million, the reported result for its first nine months.
Worry ifFiscal 2026 net income is at or below $14.2 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$96 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $283 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,150 loss on $10,000 · 21.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Higher rates lifted margins in Q3, but higher costs offset much of the gain. The next report can show whether that gap is closing.
Watch forIn the next earnings report, operating income rises from the prior year. Operating costs grow more slowly than operating margin.
Also watch forOperating income falls year over year, or costs again offset the gain from higher base rates.