Rithm Capital (RITM)
NYSEFinancialsReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.50+3.04%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put RITM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Mortgage REITs is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 24% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 12%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskRITM's asset management growth must keep compounding to justify the price. Recent earnings have been steady with a Q3 beat. The stock trades at 4.0x earnings versus a 9.5x peer median. This discount reflects modest growth expectations versus our view. Reported profits are not well backed by cash flow. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 25%. Peer multiples imply a price about 47% above where it trades. Our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. RITM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering RITM (as of Nov 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare RITM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RITM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Mortgage REITs — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put RITM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings available for distribution
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Reported quarterly earnings beat supports revenue and earnings objectives, though the headline provides limited detail.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings available for distribution
Reported Q3 earnings beat, driven by asset management, supports earnings growth and platform expansion.
Advances: Increase revenue and earnings available for distribution
Reported earnings and revenue beats support growth objectives, though details on durability are limited.
Advances: Grow asset management platform AUM and revenue
S&P upgrade indicates improved financial stability and growth potential.
Advances: Manage capital structure with debt issuance and refinancing
Sale improves capital structure and liquidity for future investments.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Increased price target indicates positive outlook on growth.