Radiant Logistics, Inc. (RLGT)
AMEXIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$8.44+0.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RLGT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers
RLGT — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-08-12
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth in
Why it matters: Hitting the EPS guidance shows that Radiant Logistics is stable and can grow.
Supportive ifThe diluted EPS for Q4 reaches or exceeds $0.10.
Worry ifThe diluted EPS for Q4 falls below $0.10.
Why it matters: A rise in global trade could increase the need for logistics services.
Supportive ifThere are reports of more shipping and trade activity in important markets.
Worry ifGlobal trade volumes keep falling or stay the same.
Why it matters: Ongoing trade problems could hurt revenue. Management must handle these issues for future growth.
Watch forManagement says trade issues are getting better or are resolved.
Also watch forManagement says trade conditions are getting worse. New tariffs are hurting business.
Why it matters: Better domestic freight conditions may mean growth for Radiant. It shows how well they operate.
Supportive ifSpot rates and tender rejections show a sustained increase over the next quarter.
Worry ifSpot rates and tender rejections fall or stay the same without improvement.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $337 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,744 loss on $10,000 · 17.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Advancing these technologies is key for Radiant's growth. Success could improve efficiency and attract more customers.
Supportive ifManagement reports a big rise in customer use for Navegate and Ray.
Worry ifThere is no clear progress or customer feedback showing problems with Navegate or Ray.
Why it matters: Changes in tariff policies can impact global trade. This can affect Radiant's business.
Watch forAnnouncement of tariff policy changes that favor U.S. trade.
Also watch forAnnouncement of new tariffs or trade restrictions that hinder U.S. imports.
Why it matters: EBITDA shows how well the company is doing. A drop may mean bigger problems.
Worry ifEBITDA rises above $8 million in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $7 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A recovery in freight markets may lead to more money for Radiant.
Supportive ifSpot rates and tender rejections have gone up for two months in a row.
Worry ifSpot rates and tender rejections continue to decline for two consecutive months.
Why it matters: This report will show how Radiant is doing financially and operationally. It is important for future trends.
Watch forQ2 earnings show more revenue or better profit numbers compared to Q1.
Also watch forQ2 earnings report shows declining revenue or profits compared to Q1.
Why it matters: Changes in tariffs and trade policies can affect Radiant's international business. This is crucial for revenue.
Watch forPositive developments in U.S. trade policy that ease tariffs or improve trade flows.
Also watch forNew tariffs or trade rules make it harder to move goods internationally.
Why it matters: New tariff rules can change international trade. They can also affect logistics.
Watch forNew tariff policies are announced that lower import fees.
Also watch forTariff policies stay the same or raise import fees.
Why it matters: A bigger drop in adjusted EBITDA shows more problems in operations. This could hurt future growth.
Worry ifQ1 adjusted EBITDA down more than 20% year over year from $9.4 million.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA declines less than 20% year over year or grows.
Why it matters: New customers for Navegate would show demand for the platform and support growth. It is key for future revenue.
Supportive ifAt least three new customers are using the Navegate platform.
Worry ifNo new customers announced for the Navegate platform in the next quarter.
Why it matters: More buyback activity shows trust in the company's finances. It may help the share price.
Supportive ifThere is news of more share buybacks beyond the first $3.5 million.
Worry ifNo new share buybacks were announced after the credit facility change.