Reading ROG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ROG free→Reading ROG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track ROG free→NYSEInformation TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Risk is moderate, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 38% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $151.06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $151 ROG trades at 52× p/e — 1.9× the 28× p/e peer median, and above its own 38× history. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $109 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 38% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 0%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.70x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.79 → $0.99 (+24.4% / 30d). 3 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 200.0% avg surprise
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$166.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$345.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,440.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'full' to 'expensive'.
Valuation changed. The valuation label moved from "full" to "expensive." Risk fell. The sector backdrop is a tailwind. Earnings quality remains loss-making. Management is neutral.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This range shows if the company can keep growing sales after a solid Q1.
Confirms:Net sales guidance for Q2 2026 exceeds $220 million.
Disproves:Net sales guidance for Q2 2026 falls below $210 million.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for ROG yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
President and Chief Executive Officer — Ali El-Haj: Mr. El-Haj was promoted from Interim President and CEO to permanent roles.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Electronic Components.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
ROG Rogers Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
APH Amphenol | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | full | moderate |
GLW Corning Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 38 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
COHR Coherent Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 30 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
LFUS Littelfuse | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | full | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on enhancing operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Drive revenue growth through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Improve cash flow from operations to support strategic investments.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow shows the company is managing its finances well.
Confirms:Cash from operations exceeds $6 million in Q2 2026.
Disproves:Cash from operations falls below $5 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The new CEO's actions can impact company direction and investor confidence. A strong start could improve outlook.
Confirms:Look for good news or plans from the new CEO in the next three months.
Disproves:No significant changes or negative news from the new CEO within three months.
Why it matters: This range shows if profits are getting better since Q1.
Confirms:Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 is over $41 million.
Disproves:Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 falls below $35 million.
Why it matters: This shows if the company can maintain or improve its profit margins.
Confirms:Gross margin for Q2 2026 exceeds 33.5%.
Disproves:Gross margin for Q2 2026 falls below 32.5%.
Why it matters: How well the ESPP does shows if employees are happy and want to stay. High participation means good feelings.
Confirms:High participation rates reported in the first quarter after the ESPP launch.
Disproves:Low participation rates reported in the first quarter after the ESPP launch.
Why it matters: This report will show if the company is improving its financial health. Investors will look for signs of recovery or continued losses.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth above 5% year over year.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows revenue decline year over year.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
Shareholders approved a new employee stock purchase plan.