Rollins, Inc. (ROL)
NYSEIndustrialsPersonal ServicesSnapshot 2026-07-08
$43.63+2.11%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $43.63. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $44 ROL trades at 39× p/e, in line with its 35× p/e peer median, and our $43 fair value agrees. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $46–$67. Note: our $43 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($46–$67). Not investment advice.
$46.00 – $67.00 (median $58.00) · 7 analysts · as of 2026-06-25
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 29% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 3.6 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.30/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $58.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $47.82 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $47.22 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $8.54 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $16.97 | 35.4 | 0.48 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $27.61 | 16.7 | 1.74 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $31.48 | 24.4 | 1.29 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $39.95 | 35.4 | 1.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $26.54 | 3.3 | 7.99 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $45.97 | 40.7 | 1.13 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $6.78 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $54.55 | 48.3 | 1.13 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $40.30 | 35.4 | 1.14 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $25.97 | 35.4 | 0.73 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $43.55 | 24.4 | 1.79 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $58.26 | 35.4 | 1.65 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $36.66 | 3.3 | 11.04 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $67.03 | 40.7 | 1.65 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $79.55 | 48.3 | 1.65 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $34.49 | 35.4 | 0.98 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $54.08 | 24.4 | 2.22 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $71.94 | 35.4 | 2.03 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $45.27 | 3.3 | 13.63 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $82.77 | 40.7 | 2.03 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $98.23 | 48.3 | 2.03 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.