Rollins, Inc. (ROL)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$38.38+2.76%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ROL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 6.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ROL — earnings in line
Dated 2026-10-21
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 21, 2026 , Rollins, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exc…
Why it matters: Rollins spent $120 million on share repurchases in Q3. A similar move would show that management keeps this part of its cash plan in place.
Supportive ifThe next quarterly report shows share repurchases near or above $120 million.
Worry ifThe next quarterly report shows share repurchases far below $120 million. Management cites a change in its cash plan.
Why it matters: Residential customer growth stayed weak in Q3. Better lead results would show that new marketing channels are working.
Supportive ifIn the next quarterly report, management says home leads rose from a year ago. Organic revenue growth topped Q3's 4.4%.
Worry ifHome leads stay weak, or organic revenue growth falls below Q3's 4.4%.
Why it matters: Q3 cash flow rose with help from a $63 million tax refund. A strong result without that boost would show better cash generation.
Supportive ifQ4 free cash flow exceeds the prior-year quarter, with no similar tax refund cited as a major boost.
Worry ifQ4 free cash flow falls year over year, or rises only with another large tax refund timing boost.
Why it matters: Organic growth slowed to 4.4% in Q3, from 5.7% in Q2. Faster growth would show better delivery on the growth plan.
Worry ifQ4 organic revenue growth is below 4.4% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ4 organic revenue growth is above 4.4% year over year.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$125 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $276 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,460 loss on $10,000 · 54.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.