RPM International (RPM)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$105.52+2.02%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RPM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers
RPM — credit agreement
Dated 2026-06-02
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement Amendment of Accounts Receivable Securitization Facility On May 27, 2026, RPM International Inc. (the “Company”) amended its existing $300.0 million accounts receivable securitization facility (the “A/R Facility”) by entering into (i) Amendment No. 11 to Amended and Restated Receivables Purchase Agreement, dated as of May 27, 2026 (the “RPA Amendment”), among the Company, RPM Funding Corporation, a special purpose entity (the “SPE”) whose voting inte…
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth in the materials sector could signal a broader recovery. This would benefit RPM.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth reported at 1% or higher year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: The new CEO may change RPM's direction. This could affect growth and investor confidence.
Watch forThe new CEO outlines a clear growth strategy in the next earnings call.
Also watch forThe new CEO does not provide a clear strategy or direction.
Why it matters: RPM is in a mature phase with slow growth. A pickup in revenue growth signals a positive change.
Supportive ifRPM reports 3-year revenue growth above 1% in the next earnings report.
Worry ifRPM reports 3-year revenue growth remaining at or below 1%.
Why it matters: Sales growth below 3% would indicate RPM is struggling to meet its growth targets.
Worry ifQ1 2027 sales growth reported below 3%.
Less concerning ifQ1 2027 sales growth reported above 7%.
Why it matters: Strong sales growth in emerging markets is vital for RPM's growth and profits.
Supportive ifEmerging markets sales grew over 10% from last year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifEmerging markets sales grew below 5% from last year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: When the company buys back shares, it shows management believes in its value. If they do not, it may mean they are being careful.
Supportive ifRPM announces share repurchases totaling at least $100 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo share buybacks happened in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Share buybacks would show good use of funds and trust in management.
Supportive ifNews about share buybacks from the new $700 million program.
Worry ifNo share repurchases announced within the next six months.
Why it matters: Changes could impact RPM's efficiency and profits. This may affect future results.
Watch forNew MAP plans that improve how the company operates.
Also watch forCancellation or major cuts to MAP plans.
Why it matters: Record EBIT shows RPM is managing costs well. It also shows they are working efficiently.
Supportive ifEBIT reported at an all-time high compared to previous quarters.
Worry ifEBIT fails to reach previous highs or declines.
Why it matters: Guidance for sales growth will show if RPM can maintain its mid-single-digit growth trend.
Supportive ifManagement guides for sales growth of 3% to 7% in fiscal 2027.
Worry ifManagement cuts sales growth guidance to below 3% for fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBIT growth shows how well RPM controls costs and boosts sales.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBIT growth of 5% or more in fiscal Q1 2027.
Worry ifAdjusted EBIT growth below 5% in fiscal Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Share buybacks can show that management believes in RPM's value and future.
Supportive ifRPM announces share repurchases totaling at least $100 million within the next year.
Worry ifRPM does not execute any share repurchases within the next year.
Why it matters: Investor Day will share updates on RPM's key goals and plans.
Watch forManagement shares new priorities that could help growth.
Also watch forManagement does not give clear updates on strategy or plans.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $272 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,659 loss on $10,000 · 26.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.