RPM International (RPM)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
$109.05+3.51%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RPM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 15.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 25 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RPM — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-13
Other Events. On October 8, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing an increase in its quarterly cash dividend. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 .
Why it matters: CPG sales fell 1.7% organically in Q1. A return to growth would ease a key pressure on RPM's sales.
Supportive ifCPG reports positive organic sales growth by the end of fiscal 2027.
Worry ifCPG organic sales growth remains below zero at fiscal 2027 year-end.
Why it matters: PCG led Q1 growth, with 7.9% organic sales growth. Sustained gains would support RPM's growth plan.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 Q2 PCG sales rise in the mid- to high-single-digit range year over year.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 Q2 PCG sales grow below the mid-single-digit range or decline year over year.
Why it matters: Management linked weak CPG sales to delayed projects and supply limits. Meeting its outlook would show those issues are easing.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 Q2 CPG sales rise in the low-single-digit range year over year.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 Q2 CPG sales are flat or decline year over year.
Why it matters: RPM has tied past gains to MAP. The new plan can show whether it has more ways to cut costs and improve margins.
Supportive ifThe November 9 investor day names new MAP actions and gives clear steps to track their progress.
Worry ifThe investor day gives no new MAP actions or trackable steps for the next plan.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$122 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $286 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,242 loss on $10,000 · 22.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.