Rithm Property Trust, Inc. (RPT)
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
$11.33+2.53%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RPT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -43.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 48.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 20 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RPT — debt issuance
Dated 2026-07-21
Other Events Rithm Property Trust Inc. (the “ Company ”) determined to terminate its proposed public offering of the Company’s common stock previously announced on July 13, 2026 (the “ Offering ”). As a result of such termination, no shares of common stock or preferred stock of the Company are being sold pursuant to the Offering or the contemplated concurrent private placement, and the Company will not acquire the portfolio of multifamily residential transition loans at this time. The termina…
Why it matters: Book value fell from $30.17 in Q2 to $29.82 in Q3. A further drop would extend that decline.
Worry ifThe next quarterly report shows book value per common share below $29.82.
Less concerning ifThe next quarterly report shows book value per common share at or above $30.17.
Why it matters: RPT paid the same dividend in each of the first three 2026 quarters. A cut would end that pattern.
Worry ifA company release or board notice states a common dividend below $0.36 per share.
Less concerning ifA company release or board notice declares a common dividend of at least $0.36 per share.
Why it matters: RPT added $97.0 million of Genesis loans in Q3. More growth would show the company is still adding to this portfolio.
Supportive ifThe next report shows a residential transition loan balance above Q3's $235.4 million. It also shows a new Genesis loan purchase.
Worry ifThe next report shows the loan balance at or below $235.4 million, with no new Genesis purchase.
Why it matters: Net interest income rose from $4.1 million in Q2 to $6.1 million in Q3. A further rise would confirm the recent gain.
Supportive ifThe next quarterly report shows net interest income above Q3's $6.055 million.
Worry ifThe next quarterly report shows net interest income at or below Q2's $4.056 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $287 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,889 loss on $10,000 · 38.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.