Reading RRC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RRC free→Reading RRC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RRC free→NYSEEnergyOil & Gas E&pSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance is strong, but the sector backdrop is a headwind, which may impact future results. Earnings quality is neutral, and risk is moderate, while the company’s earnings yield is above typical for the sector, indicating a relatively high yield. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, priced roughly in line with peer multiples. Key factors to watch include the performance of sector bellwethers like COP, EOG, and OXY, as their earnings guidance could influence RRC's momentum. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $38.59. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $39 RRC trades at 11× p/e, below its 13× p/e peer median. Our $40 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Analysts: $46–$54. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 5% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 14%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Not enough signal yet.
Over the trailing year it converted 1.62x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Energy names rated neutral grew net income 33% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=789).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Not enough signal yet.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.73 → $0.74 (+0.6% / 30d). 2 raised, 3 cut, 23 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 26% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 22.6% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$144.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$344.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,415.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if cash flow and net income are improving. This is key for growth.
Confirms:Q2 earnings report shows cash from operations increasing by more than 10% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 earnings report shows cash from operations declining or flat year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RRC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 21, 2026 Range Resources Corporation issued a press release announcing its first quarter 2026 results. A copy of this press release is being furnished as an exhibit to this report on Form 8-K.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$46.00 – $54.00 (median $49.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-05-22
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RRC Range Resources | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 100 of 100 | fair | moderate |
COP ConocoPhillips | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
EOG EOG Resources | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 95 of 100 | full | moderate |
OXY Occidental Petroleum | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 87 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FANG Diamondback Energy | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 51 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on enhancing cash flow from operating activities to support growth and shareholder returns.
Aim to boost net income through operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives.
Drive revenue growth through strategic marketing and operational efficiencies.
Why it matters: Increasing cash flow is a top priority for management. It signals financial health and growth potential.
Confirms:Management says cash from operations will rise by over 15% next quarter.
Disproves:Management says cash from operations will drop or stay the same.
Why it matters: Revenue growth is crucial for Range Resources to maintain its growth trajectory. Investors will focus on this.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported above 6% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth reported below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift for Range Resources. This would help improve investor sentiment.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up. It is going back to over 6%.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth continues to decline or stays flat below 6%.
Why it matters: Changes in unemployment claims can impact energy demand. A rise in claims may signal weaker economic conditions.
Confirms:Unemployment claims are rising a lot. They are higher than last week's numbers.
Disproves:Unemployment claims drop or stay stable compared to previous weeks.