Reservoir Media, Inc. (RSVR)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$9.74-0.31%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RSVR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -15.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 22 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RSVR — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 4, 2026, Reservoir Media, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), issued a press release announcing the condensed consolidated financial results of the Company for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, s…
Why it matters: This shows good cost management and strong revenue. It helps meet growth targets.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA of $15 million or more in Q2.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $14 million in Q2.
Why it matters: New acquisitions could boost revenue growth. They can improve the company's market position.
Watch forRevenue growth from acquisitions reported at 15% or higher in the next quarter.
Also watch forRevenue growth from acquisitions reported below 5% in the next quarter.
Why it matters: New partnerships can drive growth in emerging markets. Success here could enhance revenue streams.
Supportive ifA new deal or purchase in Latin music was announced.
Worry ifNo new deals or purchases in Latin music were announced.
Why it matters: Keeping growth going is important for investor trust. It helps future performance too.
Watch forQ1 FY 2027 revenue growth reported between 5% and 8% year over year.
Also watch forQ1 FY 2027 revenue growth reported below 5% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$79 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $240 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,324 loss on $10,000 · 13.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Strong growth in this segment is critical for overall revenue health.
Supportive ifQ2 Recorded Music revenue grew by over 30% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ2 Recorded Music revenue growth is under 20% compared to last year.
Why it matters: This revenue number shows strong growth. It backs management's guidance for fiscal 2027.
Supportive ifQ1 2027 revenue reported at $47.5 million or higher.
Worry ifQ1 2027 revenue reported below $45 million.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows the company's ability to grow in a tough market. It is key for future plans.
Supportive ifRevenue growth reaches or exceeds $191M by the end of FY 2027.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below $180M by the end of FY 2027.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow is key for funding growth and keeping financial health. It shows good financial management.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is positive. It should grow compared to last quarter.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is negative. This shows there may be liquidity problems.
Why it matters: Cash flow is vital for operations. A decline could indicate financial strain.
Worry ifCash flow from operations reported lower than the previous quarter.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations remains stable or increases.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means stronger financial health and efficiency.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations improves compared to the previous year.
Worry ifCash flow from operations declines compared to the previous year.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows better financial health and more efficient operations.
Supportive ifNet loss of less than $0.5 million in Q2.
Worry ifNet loss increases beyond $0.5 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Hitting this growth target would show the company's strong performance for fiscal 2027.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth of 7% or more compared to the same quarter last year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Reaching this target would prove that management's financial plan works well.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA reported in Q3 falls within the $75M-$79M range.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA reported in Q3 is below $70M.
Why it matters: Success would show that management's plan to grow in fast markets is working.
Supportive ifNew Latin music partnerships bring in over $5 million in revenue next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue from new Latin music partnerships is negligible or less than $1 million.
Why it matters: Changes in debt levels can impact financial stability and future growth plans.
Watch forTotal debt decreases by at least 5% in the next quarter.
Also watch forTotal debt increases by more than 5% in the next quarter.