Reservoir Media, Inc. (RSVR)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$10.35+5.18%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RSVR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 7.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 21.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RSVR — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 4, 2026, Reservoir Media, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), issued a press release announcing the condensed consolidated financial results of the Company for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, s…
Why it matters: Recorded Music rose 35% in Q1, but sync and physical sales partly came from timing. Digital growth offers a clearer test.
Watch forRecorded Music revenue grows year over year. Digital revenue also rises, without a sync timing spike.
Also watch forRecorded Music revenue falls year over year as sync or physical revenue drops after the Q1 timing gains.
Why it matters: The target calls for 5% growth, less than the 13% Q1 gain. Results can show whether cost gains last.
Supportive ifFY27 Adjusted EBITDA reaches at least $75M, and Reservoir keeps its $75M-$79M range.
Worry ifReservoir cuts the FY27 range below $75M or reports FY27 Adjusted EBITDA below $75M.
Why it matters: Management kept this target after Q1 revenue rose 12%. The next results test whether growth stays on track.
Supportive ifFY27 revenue lands at $186M or more, and no later company update cuts the $186M-$191M range.
Worry ifReservoir cuts its FY27 revenue range below $186M or reports FY27 revenue below $186M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$84 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $239 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,054 loss on $10,000 · 20.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.