RTX Corporation (RTX)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-07-07
$200.87-0.25%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $200.87. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $201 RTX trades at 32× p/e, below its 38× p/e peer median, but our blended $160 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $208 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $286.62 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $287.78 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $49.92 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $83.58 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 93% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 19.7 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $5.19/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $259.49 |
| 38.2 |
| 6.80 |
| Mgmt |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $231.18 | 25.5 | 9.93 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $209.41 | 34.2 | 6.13 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $237.74 | 38.2 | 6.23 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $220.94 | 3.3 | 66.23 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $220.59 | 35.4 | 6.23 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $58.74 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $166.56 | 26.7 | 6.23 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $254.74 | 38.2 | 6.68 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $385.91 | 38.2 | 10.11 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $318.49 | 34.2 | 9.32 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $302.66 | 38.2 | 7.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $257.46 | 3.3 | 77.18 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $280.83 | 35.4 | 7.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $212.05 | 26.7 | 7.93 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $502.79 | 38.2 | 13.18 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $421.21 | 34.2 | 12.32 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $320.52 | 38.2 | 8.40 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $272.65 | 3.3 | 81.73 | guidance | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $297.39 | 35.4 | 8.40 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $224.56 | 26.7 | 8.40 | Analyst | high |