Rush Enterprises (RUSHA)
NASDAQIndustrialsAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$50.95+1.68%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RUSHA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -17.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
RUSHA — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-06
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Second Amendment to the BMO Revolving Lease and Rental Credit Agreement Effective August 4, 2026, Rush Truck Centres of Canada Limited (“RTC-Canada”), a subsidiary of Rush Enterprises, Inc. (the “Company”), and the Company, as guarantor, entered into the Second Amendment to the BMO Revolving Lease and Rental Credit Agreement (the “Second BMO Revolving Lease and Rental Credit Agreement Amendment”) with Bank of Montreal (“BMO”), which amended that cer…
Why it matters: The stock split may change how easily shares trade. It can also affect how investors feel.
Watch forShare price remains stable or increases post-split on August 31, 2026.
Also watch forShare price drops a lot after the split.
Why it matters: This joint venture will help Rush grow in the refrigerated transportation market.
Supportive ifThe joint venture closes as planned in Q3 2026, allowing Rush to operate 17 new dealerships.
Worry ifIf the joint venture does not close or is delayed, market growth will be limited.
Why it matters: Acquiring new dealerships will expand Rush's market presence and support growth.
Supportive ifThe company finishes the acquisition. It starts operating the new locations as Rush Truck Centers.
Worry ifThe acquisition is delayed or canceled. This affects growth plans.
Why it matters: The stock split may change liquidity and how investors feel. This could affect share price changes.
Watch forShare price goes up after the split. This shows that investors feel positive.
Also watch forShare price goes down or stays the same after the split. This shows negative investor sentiment.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $338 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,996 loss on $10,000 · 20.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This joint venture could expand Rush's market presence in refrigerated transport. It aligns with growth strategy.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of the joint venture closing by the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifDelay or cancellation of the joint venture agreement.
Why it matters: More purchases would show that Rush is still growing. It supports management's plan for growth.
Supportive ifLook for news of at least one more dealership purchase by the end of Q4 2026.
Worry ifNo new dealership acquisitions announced by the end of Q4 2026.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show sales performance and signs of market recovery. It may affect how investors feel.
Watch forEarnings per share is over $0.77, showing better performance than Q1.
Also watch forEarnings per share is below $0.77, showing ongoing market challenges.
Why it matters: Aftermarket services help make money. Growth shows strength in tough markets.
Supportive ifAftermarket revenue grows each year. It stays at or above 66% of gross profit.
Worry ifAftermarket revenue declines or fails to grow year over year.
Why it matters: Acquiring new dealerships can expand Rush's market presence and support growth.
Supportive ifWatch for news about finishing purchases and opening new stores.
Worry ifWatch for delays or stopping the dealership purchases.
Why it matters: If industrial sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Rush Enterprises. This could signal a stronger market.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth returns to above 10% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 8% year over year.
Why it matters: Steady growth in aftermarket revenue shows strength and demand. It helps overall profits.
Supportive ifAftermarket revenue grows more than 2% in Q3 compared to Q2.
Worry ifAftermarket revenue declines or grows less than 1% in Q3 compared to Q2.
Why it matters: The stock split may impact liquidity and investor interest. It can affect how shares are perceived.
Watch forShare price increases by more than 5% within a month after the stock split.
Also watch forShare price decreases or remains flat within a month after the stock split.
Why it matters: More Class 8 truck sales would show that recovery is happening in the second half of 2026.
Supportive ifQ3 Class 8 truck sales exceed 3,172 units sold in Q2 2026.
Worry ifQ3 Class 8 truck sales remain flat or decline compared to Q2 2026.