RXO, Inc. (RXO)
NYSEIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-05
NYSEIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RXO
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within industrials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-11-05.
The screen ranks RXO against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=9285).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
We’re staying close to our customers, listening to their needs and helping them navigate an evolving freight market.
Stated in 3 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “• Achieved an 11% sequential increase in gross profit per load, the highest growth rate in four years, driven by Brokerage full-truckload spot mix of 42%.” “As a result, RXO’s truckload gross profit per load increased by more than 10 percent in August when compared to July, which was better than the outlook provided on the company’s second-quarter earnings conference call.”
“We’re staying close to our customers, listening to their needs and helping them navigate an evolving freight market.”
“In Brokerage, we outperformed the market sooner than our previously communicated expectations, with truckload volume growth of 2 percent.”
“We’re converting our strong Brokerage sales pipeline and, while our Brokerage volume declined by 8% year-over-year in the first quarter, our full truckload volume improved every month as the quarter…”
In Complementary Services, Last Mile gained market share and grew stops by 3 percent.
Stated in 2 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Complementary Services Managed Transportation was awarded approximately $100 million of freight under management in the second quarter.” “Complementary Services Managed Transportation was awarded more than $100 million of freight under management in the first quarter.”
“In Complementary Services, Last Mile gained market share and grew stops by 3 percent.”
Our team remains focused on delivering the best service, solutions, innovation and relationships in the industry, and we have strong momentum heading into the fourth quarter.”
Stated in 3 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Third-Quarter Outlook RXO expects third-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be between $35 million and $45 million.” “Second-Quarter Outlook RXO expects second-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be between $27 million and $37 million.”
“Our team remains focused on delivering the best service, solutions, innovation and relationships in the industry, and we have strong momentum heading into the fourth quarter.””
Robinson expects to realize approximately $300 million of net run-rate cost synergies within two years post-close.
Stated in a supplied disclosure. Management reported: “Robinson expects to realize approximately $300 million of net run-rate cost synergies within two years post-close.” “Robinson expects the transaction to be accretive to adjusted EPS 1 within nine months of the transaction close and mid-teens accretive to adjusted EPS in 2028.”
Focus on increasing truckload volume and gross profit per load in the Brokerage business, leveraging spot mix growth and contract rate increases.
Over the trailing year it converted -0.21x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates (low R² over the window).
11 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=8936).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-11-05.
“During the quarter, our Managed Transportation business was awarded more than $100 million in freight under management and our late-stage sales pipeline increased by more than $200 million.”
“Third-Quarter Outlook RXO expects third-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be between $35 million and $45 million.”
“Second-Quarter Outlook RXO expects second-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be between $27 million and $37 million.”