RYTHM Inc (RYM)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-11-04
$17.61+6.73%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · RYM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 148.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
RYM — M&A activity — Changes in Control of Registrant
Dated 2026-08-11
Changes in Control of Registrant. Pursuant to the Amendment, and as described in Item 1.01, the beneficial ownership limitations contained in the Notes and the Warrants held by RSLGH were removed from those instruments. As a result of the removal of those beneficial ownership limitations, the beneficial ownership of RSLGH in the Company’s Common Stock increased from 49.99% to approximately 89.9% as of August 11, 2026, which is 60 days prior to the effective date of the Amendment, in accordanc…
Why it matters: June drink shipments reached 25,000 cases, up from 7,000 a year earlier. Q3 results can show if that growth held.
Watch forRYTHM reports higher hemp drink revenue than Q2's level, or drink shipments stay near or above 25,000 cases a month.
Also watch forRYTHM reports lower hemp drink revenue than Q2, or drink shipments fall below 25,000 cases a month.
Why it matters: The rule may limit sales of hemp-derived THC products. Those products grew 67% from the prior quarter.
Worry ifThe rule takes effect on November 12. RYTHM reports lower sales or access for hemp-derived products.
Less concerning ifCongress changes or delays the rule before November 12. RYTHM keeps selling hemp-derived products.
Why it matters: The fixed fee began April 1 and gives RYTHM a large cash income stream. Missed or changed payments would weaken that support.
Supportive ifRYTHM reports receiving the $70 million annual cash fee, with no cut or delay to the terms.
Worry ifRYTHM or Green Thumb reports a missed payment, a lower fee, or a change to the license terms.
Why it matters: A filing says Green Thumb-linked ownership rose to about 89.9%. RYTHM also listed 11.0 million warrants and 3.0 million shares tied to notes.
Worry ifA filing shows new shares issued from the notes or warrants. It also may show Green Thumb-linked ownership rising further.
Less concerning ifA filing reports no new shares issued and no further rise in Green Thumb-linked ownership.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$253 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $937 loss on $10,000 · 9.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,438 loss on $10,000 · 64.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.