Sonic Automotive, Inc. (SAH)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$62.80-1.95%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - DealershipsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SAH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -23.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
SAH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2026, Sonic Automotive, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for its third fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026 (the “Earnings Press Release”). A copy of the Earnings Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and a copy of the earnings call presentation materials is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2.
Why it matters: Q3 Powersports revenue reached a record $113.7 million, while segment income rose 1%. The next results can show whether growth also lifts income.
Supportive ifPowersports segment income rises above $7.9 million in the next quarter. Revenue tops $113.7 million.
Worry ifPowersports segment income falls below $7.9 million or revenue falls below $113.7 million in the next quarter.
Why it matters: EchoPark sales grew, but gross profit per unit fell 12% in Q3. A steadier margin could help turn volume growth into more income.
Supportive ifEchoPark combined gross profit per unit is at least $2,972 in the next quarter, versus $2,972 in Q3.
Worry ifEchoPark combined gross profit per unit falls below $2,972 in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Management said it is working to improve expense leverage. The Q3 SG&A share rose to 75.6% from 72.2% in Q2.
Supportive ifReported SG&A as a share of gross profit falls below 75.6% in the next quarterly report.
Worry ifReported SG&A as a share of gross profit stays at or above 75.6% in the next quarterly report.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$196 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $435 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,688 loss on $10,000 · 46.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.